Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 12/25/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors meet Thursday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Pelicans, beat the Nuggets, and they play the Kings next. The Mavs have won 7 of their last 11 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 21.7 points and 3 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.2 points and 6.4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Suns and Magic, and they’ll play the Raptors next. The Warriors have lost 9 of their last 15 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 114.2 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 112.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 28.7 points and 4.3 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.9 points and 4.6 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last seven day games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have won eight of their last nine games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six day games following a home win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last five home games against the Mavericks following a win.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Warriors have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Warriors’ last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Warriors’ last six Thursday games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Mavericks’ last five road games have gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Jimmy Butler ranks T21st amongst qualified players for FG% (52.3%) this season.
• De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (3.5) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Cooper Flagg ranks 9th in the league for fast break points (104) this season.
• Anthony Davis ranks 19th amongst qualified players for FG% (52.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• This season, 41.8% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
• The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (43.8).
• Eleven different Mavericks players have scored 20+ points in a game this season – most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for Q2 win percentage this season (32.3%).

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report

The Warriors will be without Al Horford and Seth Curry.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum. Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Klay Thompson, and PJ Washington are questionable.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Mavericks have issues with consistency and can’t stay healthy to trust night to night. The Warriors are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home. However, the Warriors have underachieved all year, and they’re not profitable with a 14-16 ATS record. The Warriors are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when a favorite of 5 or more points, and 2 of those games were outright losses. The Mavs have covered 7 of the last 10 games against the Warriors. Since November 29, the Mavericks are 5-1 SU and ATS when an underdog of 5 or more points. Give me the free buckets with the Mavericks on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Mavericks +8.5