Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction NBA Picks 11/10/24

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Denver Nuggets (5-3) vs Dallas Mavericks (5-3)

November 10, 2024 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -5.5 / Dallas Mavericks +5.5 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Bulls, lost to the Suns, and they play the Jazz and Warriors next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.4 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 108.9 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.8 points and 8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 23.7 points and 4.8 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Daniel Gafford is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Thunder and Heat, and they play the Pelicans and Grizzlies next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.9 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.9 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 13.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.2 points and 4.3 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 9.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last nine games at Ball Arena against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have lost four of their last five night games at Ball Arena.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games at Ball Arena against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five night games at Ball Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Nuggets’ last five games as favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Mavericks’ last six road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Dallas Mavericks and the points are worth a look, but this line indicates they’re going to be without Luka. That’s on top of Lively and Washington being out. The Denver Nuggets are at their best at home, and it’s where 4 of their 6 wins this season have come. The Nuggets are also showing signs of figuring things out with four straight wins and an offense that’s picking it up. Assuming the Mavs will be down their best player, I’ll lay the chalk with the Nuggets at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -5.5

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