Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 12/1/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Lakers, beat the Clippers, and they play the Heat next. The Mavs have lost 20 of their last 28 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 110.2 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 19.3 points and 2.7 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 16.7 points and 6.6 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Suns, lost to the Spurs, and they play the Pacers next. The Nuggets have won 17 of their last 22 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 124.8 points on 51.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.1 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12.4 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 24 points and 4.5 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 83.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 15 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nuggets have won each of their last nine Monday night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six Monday games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Nuggets’ last three games at Ball Arena.
• The Nuggets have lost each of their last two games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Nuggets’ last five games.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Ball Arena against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Nuggets’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Mavericks’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Cameron Johnson ranks 42nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.8%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Brandon Williams ranks 11th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.6) this season.
• Max Christie ranks 14th amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.6%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (44.8).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (32.5).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for H1 points per game this season (52.4).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for offensive rating this season (106.4).

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

Christian Braun and Julian Strawther are out for the Nuggets. Aaron Gordon is also out.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum. Daniel Gafford is doubtful, while Brandon Williams and P.J. Washington are questionable.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Mavericks just can’t catch a break, as they’re expected to have AD back, but now Gafford, Williams, and Washington are on the injury report. The constant lineup changes make it hard to build a rhythm. The Nuggets have injury issues of their own, but they continue to win, and they’re a profitable 12-7 ATS. The Nuggets have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Mavs and are 6-3-1 ATS in those games. Thick line, but the Mavs are so undermanned it’s hard to get there. I’ll lay the points with the Nuggets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -11.5