Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 3/10/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and the Atlanta Hawks collide at the State Farm Arena on Tuesday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks have been ice-cold for a while now, as they’ve lost 17 of their last 19 games overall and they will be hoping to arrest a seven-game losing streak after getting thrashed by the Raptors in a 122-92 road defeat on Sunday. Daniel Gafford led the team in scoring with 21 points and 11 rebounds on 10 of 10 shooting. Cooper Flagg added 17 points with eight rebounds and six assists, while Brandon Williams chipped in with 16 points off the bench but no other player finished in double figures in scoring.

As a team, the Mavericks shot just 40 percent from the field and a miserable five of 30 from the 3-point line as they looked outmatched from the start and scored just 15 points in the second quarter to trail by 13 points at halftime and things only got worse in the second half, where the Mavericks allowed 65 points. 

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have been on fire lately, as they’ve reeled off seven wins from their last eight games overall and they will be eager to build on their season-high six-game win streak after beating the 76ers in a 125-116 win on Saturday. Jalen Johnson led the team with 35 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists on 12 of 19 shooting; Nickeil Alexander-Walker added 24 points with six assists; CJ McCollum tallied 17 points with seven assists; and Dyson Daniels chipped in with 15 points, nine rebounds and four assists.

As a team, the Hawks shot a healthy 55 percent from the field and 13 of 32 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sloppy start and leaked 38 points in the first quarter to fall behind by 13 points, but they played solid defense to climb back into the contest and were always in control after going on a pivotal 8-0 run in the fourth quarter. 

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 13 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Hawks have won each of their last six games.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last eight night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last two games as underdogs against the Hawks following a loss.
• The Hawks have lost five of their last six games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last six games has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Hawks’ last five home games against the Mavericks have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 5th in the league for fast break points (239) this season.
• Onyeka Okongwu is one of only seven qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 three, 1.0 steal, and 1.0 block this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Cooper Flagg is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.
• P.J. Washington ranks 8th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Fourteen different Hawks players have scored 20+ points in a game this season—the most in the league.
• Twelve different Hawks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season—the most in the league.
• The Mavericks have used 37 different starting fives this season—the most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.3%).

Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Mavericks are still playing without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II, who are both out, while the Hawks are keeping an eye on Jonathan Kuminga, who is a game-time decision. The Mavericks haven’t been able to buy a win lately and their confidence took another gut shot after getting humbled by the Raptors in an ugly defeat on Sunday and now they take on the rising Hawks, who are playing their best basketball of the season right now.

The line was always going to be hefty but I am comfortable laying the points in this one, as the Hawks are in a groove right now and I think they stay hot with another win and cover at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Atlanta -9.5