Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks Player Prop Picks 3/12/25 NBA Picks

The Atlanta Hawks (31-34) will host the Charlotte Hornets (16-48) on March 12th, 2025, at State Farm Arena in a matchup between two Eastern Conference teams on opposite trajectories. 

The Hawks, currently seventh in the conference, have won three straight home games and are looking to build momentum for a potential playoff push. Meanwhile, the Hornets, sitting at 14th in the East, have struggled throughout the season but are coming off a narrow 105-102 win over the Miami Heat, where they shot 41.9% from the field and an impressive 95.7% from the free-throw line. Charlotte is led by LaMelo Ball, who is averaging 25.6 points, 7.0 assists, and 6.7 rebounds per game, while Atlanta is powered by Trae Young, who is averaging 23.8 points and 11.5 assists per contest. Betting trends suggest an interesting dynamic, as the Hornets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight meetings with the Hawks, and the over has hit in the last six matchups in Atlanta. Additionally, the under has been a trend for the Hornets, hitting in six of their last seven games when their opponent allows 100 or more points in the previous game. Despite Charlotte’s struggles, their recent victory and strong ATS record against the Hawks indicate they could pose a challenge, though Atlanta remains the favorite, given their home success and overall stronger season performance.

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Miles Bridges Over 21.5 Points

Miles Bridges has been a key offensive contributor for the Charlotte Hornets during the 2024-25 NBA season. Bridges has averaged 18.6 points per game, showcasing his scoring consistency. He has maintained a field goal percentage of 43.5%, indicating his effectiveness from the floor, and a three-point shooting accuracy of 31.8%, reflecting his capability from beyond the arc. Additionally, Bridges has excelled at the free-throw line, boasting an impressive 88.9% shooting percentage. Beyond scoring, he contributes an average of 7.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, underscoring his versatility and significant role in the Hornets’ performance this season. Bridges has cleared this line with ease in his last 5 games and is coming off 35 35-point performance against the Heat. He’s taken a lot of pressure off Lamelo’s back, and this Hornets team plays significantly better when Bridges is a key part of this offense. 

Onyeka Okongwu Over 9.5 Rebounds

Onyeka Okongwu has been a dominant force on the boards for the Atlanta Hawks during the 2024-25 NBA season. He’s averaging 9.8 rebounds per game, reflecting his significant presence in the paint. Notably, Okongwu has recorded multiple double-digit rebounding games, including a standout performance on March 8, 2025, against the Indiana Pacers, where he secured 16 rebounds. Okongwu should have other nice night on the glass playing this Hornets team. The Hornets have been soft in the paint this season. Charlotte is giving up 53.8 rebounds per game to opposing teams, which is the 5th most in the whole league. 

LaMelo Ball Over 6.5 Assists 

LaMelo Ball has been a pivotal playmaker for the Charlotte Hornets during the 2024-25 NBA season. Ball is averaging 6.9 assists per game, reflecting his exceptional court vision and ability to facilitate the offense. I like LaMelo to be in more of a facilitator role in this one, given how well Miles Bridges has been playing. The way this Hawks team plays promotes fast-paced, high-scoring games, which should set up LaMelo to have a lot of opportunities to assist his guys in transition. Atlanta is giving up 28.6 assists per game to opposing teams, which is the 5th most in the league.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above