Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 12/29/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Atlanta Hawks and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Monday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Knicks and Heat, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Hawks have lost 10 of their last 12 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 118.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.8 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. Trae Young is the third double-digit scorer, and Kristaps Porzingis is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 6.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the 76ers, lost to the Spurs, and then play the Trail Blazers next. The Thunder have won 31 of their last 36 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121.9 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 107 points on 43 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points and 6.5 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.9 points and 7.8 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 83.8 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 39 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Hawks have lost each of their last six games.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven night games.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Hawks’ last four games.
• The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Hawks’ last four games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Thunder’s last seven home games against the Hawks following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Hawks’ last nine night games at Paycom Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (34.5) this season.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Asa Newell ranks 1st amongst qualified rookies for 3P% (51.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.0).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.3%).
• The Hawks rank 2nd for fast break points (586) this season.
• The Hawks rank 29th in the league for rebound percentage this season (47.4%).

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Ousmane Dieng, Nikola Topic, and Jaylin Williams. Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Isaiah Joe are questionable.

The Hawks will be without Kristaps Porzingis, Jalen Johnson, Eli John Ndiaye, and N’Faly Dante. Trae Young is questionable.

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Just when the Thunder were getting healthy, they saw Mitchell, Hartenstein, and Joe leave the game against the 76ers. On the end of a back-to-back, there’s a chance OKC could be down many rotation players. With that said, oddsmakers clearly don’t give a damn and are telling you what they think of the Hawks. The Hawks have been terrible over the last few weeks, and there’s a chance they could be down Porzingis and Young. Even with a boatload of injuries themselves, this is a spot where you just trust the better team to get it done. Ridiculous line, but what can you do. Give me the Thunder.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oklahoma City -16.5