Jan 9, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) and forward Draymond Green (23) high five guard Brandin Podziemski (2) after a play against the Sacramento Kings during the fourth quarter at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images
Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 1/11/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Atlanta Hawks Golden State Warriors
Team Records 19-21 21-18
Spread +5.5 -102 -5.5 -118
Moneyline +185 -225
Total Over 235.5 (-110) Under 235.5 (-110)
Where Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
When Sunday, January 11, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EST
TV NBC Sports BA

The Atlanta Hawks and Golden State Warriors meet Sunday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the Pelicans and Nuggets, and they play the Lakers next. The Hawks have lost 13 of their last 19 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 119 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 119.9 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.5 points and 10.3 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.4 points and 3.5 rebounds. Kirstaps Porzingis is the third double-digit scorer, and Onyeka Okongwu is grabbing 7.8 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Bucks and Kings, and they’ll play the Trail Blazers next. The Warriors have won 8 of their last 11 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.2 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.9 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 28.8 points and 4.3 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.5 points and 5 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won each of their last 11 home games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The Hawks have lost each of their last four night games at Chase Center.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games at Chase Center.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hawks have won five of their last six games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Warriors have lost 10 of their last 18 games as favorites following a win.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of the Warriors’ last six games against the Hawks following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Hawks’ last six road games following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Jimmy Butler ranks 22nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.4) this season.
  • De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (2.8) this season.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 3rd in the league for fast break points (150) this season.
  • Onyeka Okongwu is one of only six qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Warriors rank 30th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (27.1).
  • The Warriors rank 30th in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (30.8%).
  • Eight different Hawks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
  • The Hawks rank 2nd for fast break points (703) this season.

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report

The Warriors will be without Seth Curry and LJ Cryer.

The Hawks will be without N’Faly Dante and Zaccharie Risacher. Kristaps Porzingis is questionable.

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Hawks are coming off a couple of wins to show there’s still a pulse, but I’m still not interested in this group. The Warriors have been beating up bad teams left and right over the last two weeks and that should continue here because the Hawks are a bad team. The Warriors have had issues covering numbers, especially in the favorite role, but I just can’t get there with the Hawks. The Warriors are an experienced team that’s on a role by stacking wins against non caliber playoff wins, and I’ll trust that continues at least for another spot. I’ll lay the points, but there’s probably better options on this fine Sunday evening.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Golden State Warriors -5.5

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