Mar 16, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Hawks guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker (7) and forward Onyeka Okongwu (17) react during the game against the Orlando Magic during the second half at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 3/18/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Atlanta Hawks Dallas Mavericks
Team Records 37-31 23-46
Spread -8.5 -102 +8.5 -118
Moneyline -340 +270
Total Over 237.5 (-115) Under 237.5 (-105)
Where American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When Wednesday, March 18, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EDT
TV KFAA-TV

The Atlanta Hawks and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s an Atlanta Hawks vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Hawks vs. Dallas Mavericks pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview


The Atlanta Hawks beat the Magic and Bucks and play the Rockets next. The Hawks have won 10 straight games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.7 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23 points and 10.4 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20 points and 3.4 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview


The Dallas Mavericks beat the Cavs, lost to the Pelicans, and play the Clippers next. The Mavs have lost 20 of their last 24 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.2 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 118.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20 points and 4.3 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 14.9 points and 4.8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The home team has won nine of the Hawks’ last 10 games.
  • The Hawks have lost five of their last nine games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four road games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine home games.
  • The Hawks have won each of their last nine games following a win.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last nine night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at American Airlines Center against Hawks teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of the Mavericks’ last 11 games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the Hawks’ last six night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Khris Middleton is one of only seven players to have scored 35+ points off the bench in a game this season.
  • Cooper Flagg is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 4th in the league for fast break points (260) this season.
  • Onyeka Okongwu is one of only seven qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 three, 1.0 steal, and 1.0 block this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
  • The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.6%).
  • Twelve different Hawks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season—the most in the league.
  • The Hawks rank 2nd in the league for field goals made per game this season (43.3).

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report


The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II. Caleb Martin and Daniel Gafford are questionable. Brandon Williams is doubtful.

Jonathan Kuminga is questionable for the Hawks.

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction


The Mavericks continue to lose, don’t defend most nights, and don’t cover enough numbers to be worth a fair shake. Meanwhile, the Hawks are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. These teams played 9 days ago and the Hawks won by 12 points. Sure, you could argue it’s time to take a step back from the Hawks, as they’re too hot. The Hawks are due for a hiccup. I’m not doing it though. The Hawks have a pep in their step, while the Mavs are counting down the days until the offseason. Give me the Hawks to keep things rolling.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Atlanta Hawks -8.5