Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 4/16/25 NBA Picks

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview 

The Sacramento Kings recently played the Pistons, Nuggets, Clippers, and Suns. The Kings hope to make the playoffs for the second time in the last three years. 

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 115.7 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 115.3 points on 47.4 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 22.2 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Zach LaVine is averaging 22.4 points and 3.5 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer, and Malik Monk is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 38.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Kings have won each of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Kings have covered the spread in each of their last four night games against Southwest Division opponents.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Kings have lost six of their last nine games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have won five of their last nine games as road underdogs against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents after losing as favorites.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Jonas Valanciunas ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (14.8) this season.
• Keon Ellis ranks 5th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Max Christie ranks 31st amongst qualified players for FT% (85.5%) this season.
• Daniel Gafford ranks 21st amongst qualified Centers for FT% (68.9%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report

The Kings will be without Jake LaRavia and Malik Monk.

The Mavs will be without Kyrie Irving and Olivier-Maxence Prosper. Brandon Williams is questionable with an oblique injury. 

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

The Kings are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but they haven’t been consistent enough to lay this sort of number. The Mavs have been as healthy as they’ve been in a while and they’ll have the best player on the floor in Davis. This is also a playoff game where defense and physicality play a part, and the Mavericks are the sort of team that can benefit from that. The Kings have failed to cover four of their last six games as a favorite and three of those failed covers were outright losses. I’m going to grab the points with the Mavs in a game they could win outright if they’re able to muck it up and control the tempo.