Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction 4/13/25 NBA Picks

Houston Rockets (52-29) vs Denver Nuggets (49-32)

Game Info: Sunday, April 13, 2025 at 3:30 pm (Toyota Center (Houston))

Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Space City Home Network

The Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets meet Sunday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets recently beat the Kings and Grizzlies. The Nuggets can finish anywhere from the fourth seed to the sixth seed. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.7 points on 50.6 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.8 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.5 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

The Houston Rockets just lost to the Clippers and Lakers. The Rockets are locked into the second seed in the West. 

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.3 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.6 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21.2 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 19.2 points and 10.4 rebounds. Dillon Brooks is the third double-digit scorer, and Fred VanVleet is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Nuggets have lost 14 of their last 15 games at Toyota Center against Rockets teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have won nine of their last 10 games at Toyota Center.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games at Toyota Center against Rockets teams that held a winning record.
  • The home team has covered the spread in five of the Rockets' last six games.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last five road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have lost each of their last three day games against Northwest Division opponents.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last four road games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockets rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.9%).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.8%).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.0).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.4).

Rockets vs Nuggets Injury Report 

The Rockets will likely sit all of their key players given they’re locked into the second seed.

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II.

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Nuggets beat the Rockets a few weeks ago on the road as 7.5-point underdogs. We should see a similar result here, as I expect the Rockets to rest all of their players with the second seed locked up. The Nuggets are close to full strength with the return of Murray, and they’re playing for seeding. A matchup between starters and backups, there’s no reason why the Nuggets shouldn’t win this game comfortably. Assuming the line isn’t anything crazy, I’ll roll with the Nuggets on Sunday afternoon.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets ATS

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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