Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/2/25 NBA Picks

San Antonio Spurs (25-33) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (48-11)

Game Info: Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Frost Bank Center)

Betting Odds: San Antonio Spurs +13.5 -- Over/Under: 237 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs meet Sunday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Nets and Hawks, and they play the Rockets, Grizzlies, and Trail Blazers next. The Thunder are 11-2 in their last 13 games as they fight for the best record in the NBA.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.9 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 106.2 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.3 points and 6.1 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21 points and 5.5 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 11.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Rockets, beat the Grizzlies, and then play the Nets, Kings, and Timberwolves next. The Spurs look to win two straight games for the first time since December 31 - January 3. 

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 112.5 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 114.5 points on 46.4 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.6 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 15.3 points and 2.8 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Thunder have lost each of their last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Spurs.
  • The Spurs have won six of their last seven home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 17 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Spurs have lost each of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in four of the Spurs' last five games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.4).
  • The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.3).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.7).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.9).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report 

The San Antonio Spurs will be without Riley Minix, Victor Wembanyama, and Charles Bassey.

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, and Ajay Mitchell. Ousmane Dieng is questionable with a wrist injury. 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

The Spurs are coming off a monster upset win over the Grizzlies to stop the bleeding and keep them somewhat alive in the playoff race. However, now isn’t the time to overreact to the win. The Spurs are still 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. The Thunder have the second-best cover percentage in the NBA at 65.4 percent and they’re 15-8-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a double-digit favorite. With the rest advantage and the Spurs' struggles over the last month, I have no choice but to lay the big number.

Randy’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder -13.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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