Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 3/1/25 NBA Picks

Dallas Mavericks (32-28) vs Milwaukee Bucks (33-25)

Game Info: Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks +2.5 -- Over/Under: 229 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: KFAA-TV

The Milwaukee Bucks and Dallas Mavericks meet Saturday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Nuggets, lost to the Rockets, and they play the Hawks, Mavs, and Magic next. The Bucks have won seven of their last 10 games and are pushing for home court in the first round of the playoffs. 

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.1 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.4 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 31 points and 12 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 25.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Hornets, lost to the Lakers, and they play the Kings, Bucks, and Grizzlies next. The Mavs have won four straight home games and are 5-1 at home overall since the Luka trade. 

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.9 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 113.1 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 26 points and 7 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.7 points and 4.7 rebounds. Max Christie is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Bucks have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The home team has won seven of the Mavericks' last eight games.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games after winning as underdogs.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last 11 night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Bucks have won each of their last five games against the Mavericks following a win.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at American Airlines Center against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in eight of the last 10 games between the Bucks and Mavericks at American Airlines Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Bucks' last eight night games at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Mavericks' last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report 

The Mavs will be without Dereck Lively II, Daniel Gafford, Anthony Davis, Dwight Powell, and Caleb Martin. PJ Washington is questionable with an ankle injury.

The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Pat Connaughton due to a calf injury. 

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Bucks are playing some of their best ball of the season and they’re the healthier team in this spot so you can understand why they’re favored. However, the Bucks have also lost 16 times on the road and have a handful of bad losses despite their success. Also, the Mavs have been able to win games despite their injury situation and they play hard at home. It’s like the Mavs want to make the fans happy since the Luka trade, and I don’t think it’s a coincidence they’re 5-1 at home since. The Mavs have 19 of their 32 wins at home this season. I’ll grab the points.

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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