Mar 22, 2025; Harrison, New Jersey, USA; New York Red Bulls forward Serge Ngoma (81) shoots on goal as Toronto FC defender Kevin Long (5) defends during the second half at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Boland-Imagn Images
Lucas Boland-Imagn Images

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction 06/25/2025 Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP New York Red Bulls Toronto FC
Team Records 8-3-7 3-4-10
Where BMO Field, New York, New York
When Wednesday, June 25, 2025
Time 07:30 PM EDT
TV MLS Season Pass

New York Red Bulls will visit Toronto FC on Wednesday, June 25th, 2025, at the BMO Field in this Week 19 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction. We will examine:
Toronto FC recent form and player performance
New York Red Bulls recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving Toronto FC
Recent betting trends and streaks involving New York Red Bulls
Recent betting trends in games played between the New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC game

Toronto FC Preview

Toronto has 13 points this season and are sitting in the second to last place of the Eastern Conference. Toronto has a 3-10-4 record this season and are 1-7-2 at home. Toronto is coming off a 0-2 home defeat by Charlotte, and are 1-7 in their last 8 home games. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Toronto is averaging 1.06 goals per game, while allowing 1.41 goals per game. Federico Bernardeschi is the top scorer for Toronto this season with 4 total goals.

New York Red Bulls Preview

New York Red Bulls have 27 points this season and are sitting on the 8th place of the Eastern Conference. New York has an 8-7-3 record this season, and are 1-6-2 on the road. New York is coming off a 1-2 road defeat by Austin, which ended their previous four-game winning streak. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games.

New York is averaging 1.56 goals per game, while allowing 1.17 goals per game. Choupo-Moting is the top scorer for New York this season, with 8 total goals.

Why Toronto FC will win

The home team has won eight of New York Red Bulls’ last nine MLS games.

Why New York Red Bulls will win

New York Red Bulls have won each of their last nine MLS games as favorites against Toronto FC.
New York Red Bulls have won each of their last four MLS night games against Toronto FC.
The favorites have won each of New York Red Bulls’ last nine MLS games.
Toronto FC has lost each of its last eight MLS night games as a home underdog.
Toronto FC has lost each of its last four MLS home games.
The away team has won eight of Toronto FC’s last nine MLS games.
The away team has won each of Toronto FC’s last five MLS games.

Total Points Facts

The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of the last five MLS games between Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls at BMO Field.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in four of New York Red Bulls’ last five MLS games as favorites.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in seven of Toronto FC’s last nine MLS home games.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last four MLS games between Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 16 of Toronto FC’s last 20 MLS night games as a home underdog.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction

In their previous meeting this season, New York Red Bulls won 2-1 at home. The Red Bulls are 9-0-3 in their last 12 overall meetings against Toronto, and are 2-0-3 in their last 5 visits in Toronto. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 overall meetings, and both teams to score – Yes is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Toronto.

In this New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction, New York Red Bulls are coming as +125 road favorites. New York is rightfully favored, as they have twice as many points than Toronto, but they have only one in in their 9 road games this season. Both teams have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, going for 11-3 to the over in their last 14 games combined, and their previous meeting this season had 3 total goals. Most of their recent meetings had been high scoring ones, and I expect this trend to continue today. Take the over 2.25 goals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 2.25

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