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Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8/22/2025 Today’s MLB Picks
Pick details
Washington (52-75) vs Philadelphia (74-53)
August 22, 2025 at 06:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia -165 — Over/Under: +9.5
The Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Washington Nationals will send out Cade Cavalli for the start here and Cavalli is 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Cavalli’s second career start against the Phillies. Taijuan Walker will get the nod for the Phillies here and is 4-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Nationals, Walker is 1-2 with a 1.91 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to build on their 9-3 win over the Mets from Thursday’s series finale to improve to 52-75 this season. After this series, the Nationals will head on the road for a series against the New York Yankees.
Nationals Win Back-To-Back Games
Keibert Ruiz has 63 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 25 RBIs while James Wood has 121 hits with 27 doubles and a team-high 26 home runs along with 83 RBIs and 15 stolen bases while also putting up 167 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 120 hits with 16 home runs and 50 RBIs along with 27 doubles and 26 stolen bases while Luis Garcia Jr. has 24 doubles and 10 stolen bases of his own this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their 11-2 win over the Seattle Mariners last time out to sit at 74-53 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.
Phillies Win Four In A Row
Nick Castellanos has 119 hits with 24 doubles including 16 home runs and 61 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 120 hits with a team-high 45 home runs and 109 RBIs but also has a team-high 152 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 11 stolen bases, 28 doubles, 21 home runs and 69 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 158 hits with 5 triples, 13 home runs, 59 RBIs and a team-high 31 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 17 doubles and Bryson Stott has 17 doubles, 3 triples, 8 homers and 51 RBIs while Stott also has 21 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
The Nationals have lost each of their last six road games against NL East opponents following a home win.
The Phillies have won seven of their last eight night games against the Nationals at Citizens Bank Park following a win.
The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games against the Phillies following a win.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
Trea Turner has recorded a Double in each of his four previous home appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against former teams.
Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as home favorites.
Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Trea Turner ranks 1st in the league in Hits (158) this season.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Phillies’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Nationals’ last three road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’m backing the over here. I’m not buying into one good start from Cade Cavalli and it’s hard to show up strong against the same team in back-to-back starts if we’re looking at this objectively. On the other side, I’m not a Taijuan Walker fan and I have to admit I’m somewhat impressed with the recent form of the Nationals at the plate as well. I think this is going to be a higher-scoring game so give me the over in this one.