Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction 9/19/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Washington Nationals and New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 62-91 on the year and play the Braves and White Sox next. The Washington Nationals are batting .243 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .386 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 145 hits and 89 RBI, while CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have combined for 262 hits and 117 RBI.

Andrew Alvarez gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 1-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. This will be Alvarez’s first career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 79-74 on the year and play the Cubs and Marlins next. The New York Mets are batting .249 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .429 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 161 hits and 78 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 302 hits and 207 RBI.

Brandon Sproat gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Sproat’s first career game against the Washington Nationals.

Washington Nationals @ New York Mets Betting Trends: September 19, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 2.25
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Nationals: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last eight games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Nationals’ last four games.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Alvarez      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 1.15
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won four of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Nationals’ last five games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four games as underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last four home games.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 16 games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (213).
• The Mets are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (1401).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (842).

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction

The Nationals are putting together with a week like a team that has nothing to play for at this stage. I’m not thrilled with Sproat, who has just 12 MLB innings under his belt, but the Mets are at home playing a below average team. It’s gut check time. The Mets need to take advantage of games like this if they’re going to lock up a playoff spot. There are no excuses. I’ll side with the Mets.