Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 9/24/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves meet on Wednesday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Nationals vs Braves pick. We will examine:

The Washington Nationals’ recent form and player performance

The Atlanta Braves’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Braves

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Nationals

Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves and the Nationals

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves and Nationals game.

Nationals Fell Just Short

The Nationals pitching was good on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, giving up only three runs, but the offense wasn’t good enough, and they ended up losing 3-2. James Wood was the top offensive player hitting a solo home run and finishing with two hits. Brad Lord was on the mound and he went six innings giving up four hits and two runs. The bullpen pitched pretty well, it just came down to the offense not being good enough. 

The Nationals are averaging 4.24 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.54 runs per game. The offense is ranked 21st while the pitching is ranked 29th. They have a negative run differential of -1.29 which is 29th in all of baseball. Getting the start for the Nationals will be Andrew Alvarez who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 2.84. In his last start against the New York Mets, he went 3.1 innings giving up seven hits and six runs. The Nationals end the season with a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Why the Nationals Will Beat the Braves

• The Braves have lost each of their last five Wednesday day games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won six of their last nine games as road underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against the Nationals at Truist Park following a home win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games at Truist Park following a loss.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Can Braves Finish the Season Strong?

The Braves have been nothing but a disappointment this season, but they hope to finish the season strong with some success here. On Tuesday, the pitching stepped up in a big way giving up only two runs, and that was enough for the win. Hurston Waldrep went six innings giving up five hits and one run. He had five strikeouts and four walks, but he did a good job of working around the walks. Michael Harris II had a huge game hitting two home runs. 

The Braves are averaging 4.52 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.55 runs per game. The offense is ranked 13th while the pitching is ranked 20th. Matt Olson has hit 28 home runs and driven in 93 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Braves will be Bryce Elder who sits with an 8-10 record and an ERA of 5.36. Against the Detroit Tigers in his last start he went seven innings giving up five hits and one earned run.

Why the Braves Will Beat the Nationals

• The Braves have won each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games at Truist Park against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Nationals at Truist Park.

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

The Braves are going to have no issue cruising to the victory here. The Braves are averaging 4.52 runs per game, but more importantly, in this game is going to be the start from Edler. In his last start he gave up only five hits and one earned run. The Nationals are going to struggle to get to that five hit mark, and they will struggle to get even one run on the board. Alvarez’s stats look fine, but in his last start he gave up six runs. The Braves are going to get him chased early, and the Braves are going to end up cruising here. Back the Braves on the run line.