Twins vs Yankees Prediction 8/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 11th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 56-61 this year after they won two out of three against Kansas City by scores of 9-4, 0-2, and 5-3. In their game three win, Minnesota tied the game at three in the eighth inning and scored the only runs in extra innings for the walk-off win. The Twins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Fitzgerald and Keaschall, who both had two RBIs in the win. Minnesota started Urena, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 3.0 innings, while Tonkin got the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost two out of three against the Guardians before that. Minnesota has won four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 494 runs with a .242 batting average and a .313 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton (IL) has led Minnesota with 23 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 15 home runs and 48 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 3-3 with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 62-56 this season after they lost two out of three against Houston by scores of 3-5, 5-4, and 1-7. In their game three loss, New York cut the deficit to 4-1 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Yankees recorded just three hits in the game and they were led by McMahon, went 0-2 with one RBI in the loss. New York started Fried, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Hill allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Rangers and all three against the Marlins. New York has lost seven of their last nine games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 595 runs with a .250 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 37 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 20 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 6-5 with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 115.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Twins

• The Yankees have won each of their last seven games against the Twins.
• The Twins have lost each of their last five games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Twins.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games at Yankee Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in 14 of their last 16 night games against the Twins at Yankee Stadium.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in 15 of their last 17 night games at Yankee Stadium against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last five games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four road games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ryan McMahon has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Twins.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 13 games against the Twins.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games at Yankee Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.691) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (445).
• The Yankees rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (596).
• The Twins rank 25th in the league for walks this season (346).
• The Twins rank 23rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.254).

Twins vs Yankees Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this series with plenty of momentum, despite having a fire sale at the trade deadline, and they will look to continue this rough patch for New York. The Twins are 24-36 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 35-24 at home. New York is fading very quickly in the AL East, but they are starting Warren, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. The Twins are going with Matthews, who has allowed 1, 5, 0, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts. I think this is a great spot for the Yankees to bounce back and I like them -1.5 here.