Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 10/28/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Toronto Blue Jays meet Tuesday in MLB Game 4 World Series action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays look to even up the series at 2-2 after losing Monday in 18 innings. The Blue Jays haven’t lost 3 straight games since September 18-20. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .285 on the season, have a .348 OBP, and a .481 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 24 hits and 12 RBI, while Ernie Clement and Alejandro Kirk have combined for 37 hits and 21 RBI.

Shane Bieber gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 4-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Bieber is 2-1 with a 4.75 ERA and 37 strikeouts in his postseason career. This will be Bieber’s second career game against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a chance to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Dodgers are now 11-2 in the postseason and have lost just twice since September 24. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .246 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and a .426 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 2.83 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. Teoscar Hernandez leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 15 hits and 12 RBI, while Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 29 hits and 20 RBI.

Shohei Ohtani gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Ohtani is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his postseason career. Ohtani is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shohei Ohtani      Record this season (inc. playoffs): 3-1      ERA: 2.75
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 3-1

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won 14 of their last 15 games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six day playoff games after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games at Dodger Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road day playoff games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Bieber      Record this season (inc. playoffs): 5-2      ERA: 3.76
• Road Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-0

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last three games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games at Dodger Stadium following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four playoff games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine day games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Dodgers’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Blue Jays’ last 13 Tuesday games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Blue Jays and Dodgers at Dodger Stadium.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents at Dodger Stadium.
• Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in six of the Dodgers’ last seven home games against AL opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Blue Jays.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (55) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in four of his five previous playoff appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
• Shane Bieber has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Shane Bieber has recorded five or more strikeouts in 14 of his 16 previous road appearances against NL opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
• Bo Bichette ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.311) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (244).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (791).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.333).
• The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (1099).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

As I’ve said a million times, the Dodgers are going to be favored because they’re the Dodgers. It also doesn’t hurt that they’re at home, and they won last night, which should count as two wins. Throw Ohtani on the mound with the big confidence boost and Dodgers money will be pouring in.

However, these teams just played 18 innings and have a quick turnaround. Last night’s game featured a combined 19 pitchers. These guys are gassed and who knows what to expect once it gets to the bullpen. Dave Roberts was talking about using position player pitchers or bringing in Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who just pitched 9 innings in game 2. On paper, this screams Dodgers, but this has a chance to get funky in the later innings. There’s a serious carry-over from game 3.

Also, let’s not overlook Shane Bieber, as this is a guy who won a CY Young, Triple Crown, gold glove, and is a two-time all-star. His sample size this season isn’t appealing, but this is an accomplished pitcher who you’d expect to produce in a spot like this. The Blue Jays have also responded before in the postseason when folks wrote them off. I’ll take a shot with the Blue Jays in game 4.