Sep 20, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Toronto Blue Jays outfielder George Springer (4) runs to first base during the first inning against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: William Purnell-Imagn Images
William Purnell-Imagn Images

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 9/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Toronto Blue Jays Kansas City Royals
Team Records 71-71 63-79
Spread -1.5 147 +1.5 -179
Moneyline -108 -111
Total Over 9.5 (-112) Under 9.5 (-108)
Where Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
When Saturday, September 5, 2026
Time 07:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Kansas City Royals will meet on Saturday night in the second game of a three-game American League Central series at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays enter Saturday’s contest with a 71–71 overall record (4th in the American League East) and a 34–36 mark on the road. The Blue Jays offense has been inconsistent this season. Toronto has compiled 575 runs scored (28th in MLB), 224 doubles, a .247 team batting average and 134 home runs which ranks a rather low 27th in Major League Baseball.

The Blue Jays arrive at tonight’s game in good form. Toronto has won six of the team’s last seven games, including a dominant 11–0 shutout victory over the Cleveland Guardians earlier this week.

The Toronto Blue Jays will turn to right hander Max Scherzer in this game. In 13 starts made this season, Scherzer has compiled a 2–7 win‑loss record, a 6.16 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP and 46 strikeouts in 57 innings pitched. Scherzer pitched exceptionally well in his most recent outing, allowing zero earned runs while scattering one hit and one walk in the Toronto Blue Jays 7-0 win over the Seattle Mariners last month. Scherzer will look to build on his recent quality performance on the mound in tonight’s matchup with the Kansas City Royals.

Turning our attention to the Toronto offense, the Blue Jays lineup features Kazuma Okamoto, who has compiled a .242 batting average, 28 home runs, 79 RBIs, 21 doubles, and a .739 OPS, and Ernie Clement, who has tallied a .276 batting average, 22 doubles and a .690 OPS.                                             

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals enter Saturday night’s matchup with a 63–79 overall record (5th in the American League Central) and a 37–33 mark at home. Kansas City has played below average baseball recently, losing four of the team’s last five games, including a 6–3 loss to the Miami Marlins three days ago.

The Royals will start right hander Seth Lugo in today’s game. In 28 starts made in 2026, Lugo has compiled a 6–8 win‑loss record, a 5.03 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP and 118 strikeouts in 154 innings pitched. Lugo arrives at this contest in below average form, allowing five earned runs or more in three of his last four starts made this season.

The Kansas City Royals lineup features Bobby Witt Jr., who has tallied 17 home runs, 51 RBIs, 25 doubles, and an .813 OPS, and Jac Caglianone, who has amassed 23 home runs, 69 RBIs, 18 doubles, and an .826 OPS.            

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win.

• Offensive balance. Kazuma Okamoto and Ernie Clement have been key contributors for the Toronto Blue Jays lineup.

• Starting pitching. Max Scherzer has compiled a 2–7 win‑loss record, a 6.16 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP and 46 strikeouts in 57 innings pitched.

• Current form. The Toronto Blue Jays have won six of the team’s last seven games.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win.

• Home field edge. The Kansas City Royals have played competitive baseball (37–33) at Kauffman Stadium this season.

• Offensive balance. Bobby Witt Jr. and Jac Caglianone provide a strong core to the Royals lineup.

• Starting pitching. Seth Lugo has compiled a 6–8 win‑loss record, a 5.03 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP and 118 strikeouts in 154 innings pitched.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction

In my view, this matchup favors the Toronto Blue Jays. Why? Kansas City starting pitcher Seth Lugo arrives at this contest in below average form, allowing five earned runs or more in three of his last four starts made this season. Conversely, Toronto hurler Max Scherzer pitched exceptionally well in his most recent outing, allowing zero earned runs while scattering one hit and one walk in the Toronto Blue Jays 7-0 win over the Seattle Mariners last month. With that said, I am backing the Toronto Blue Jays on the moneyline in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Hot Cappers