Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros Prediction 8/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, August 5th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros have a 59-56 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL West. They have a 30-28 home record and are coming off a 7-2 home win against the Blue Jays. They will face the Padres and the Giants next.

The Houston Astros have a .246 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .416 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .329 batting average, adding a team-high 84 RBI and a team-high 35 home runs.

Hunter Brown (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Houston Astros, and he has a 3-1 record, 3.42 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 53-61 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 25-30 away record and are coming off a 2-7 road loss against the Astros. They will face the Phillies and the Red Sox next.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a .242 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .377 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 69 and adds a team-high 24 home runs.

Jameson Taillon (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he has a 2-6 record, 5.92 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: August 5, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 3.42
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 2-1

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have won seven of their last eight games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon      Record this season: 2-6      ERA: 5.92
• Road Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Astros: 1-2

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Astros have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a home win.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Astros at Daikin Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last seven home games against American League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven road games against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jeremy Pena has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros’ last two day games.
• Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Jameson Taillon has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in day games.
• Ernie Clement ranks T10th in the league in Hits (122) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (482).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (37).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (444).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (7).

Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction

The Astros are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Blue Jays and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Houston.

In this Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -170 home favorites. I like the Astros at home in this one, as they are going to face Jameson Taillon in his debut with his new team. Jameson Taillon has been in very bad shape, having given up 4+ runs in 5 of his last 7 starts and has been terrible on the road with a 7.23 road ERA. Hunter Brown has been much improved lately with just two earned runs in his last two starts and the Astros have both a superior offense and bullpen lately and are 12-2 in their last 14 games. Take the Astros to win this one at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Houston Astros ML