Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 6/22/24

Pick details

Cleveland Guardians (46-26) vs Toronto Blue Jays (35-39)

June 22, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -145 / Toronto Blue Jays +108 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Toronto Blue Jays recent form and player performance

The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians

Recent betting trends in games played between the Blue Jays and Guardians

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Blue Jays vs Guardians game

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Blue Jays played the rival Boston Red Sox in their last series. Toronto struggled in that one, taking a sweep with three losses 7-3, 4-3 and 7-3 again. On Friday in the opener versus the Guardians, the Blue Jays took a blowout loss 7-1.

In the starting pitcher role for the Jays on Saturday it’ll be Jose Berrios. Over 15 starts this year Berrios has 65 Ks in 92.0 innings with a 6-5 record and a 3.13 ERA. Berrios is 89-71 with a 4.07 ERA in 227 career games (226 starts).

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they took on the Seattle Mariners this week. Cleveland took an 8-5 loss in the opener of that set, but came back with wins 8-0 and 6-3 in the next pair. On Friday the Guardians scored all seven of their runs in the second inning.

It’ll be Ben Lively in the starting pitcher slot for the Guardians on Saturday. This year Lively is 6-3 with a 3.02 ERA and 52 Ks in 59.2 innings over 11 starts. Lively is 14-20 with a 4.60 ERA in 56 games (43 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seventeen of the Blue Jays’ last 20 road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in five of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians’ last four games at Progressive Field against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Saturday appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games at Progressive Field.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine road games against the Guardians.
  • Daulton Varsho has scored at least one run in four of the Blue Jays’ last five day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

I’ll probably just stay with the Guardians. Lively could use a good start here. He’s coming off four earned in 4.0 innings during a loss to the Jays on June 16. Prior to that Lively had just two earned in 10.2 innings during a pair of wins, though. As for Berrios, he’s given up seven earned over his last 11.2 innings, going 1-1 in that time.

On Friday the Guardians had just five team hits. Despite a few adventurous innings the pitching staff pulled through in a nice effort. Cleveland should be okay if Lively posts a quality start.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Cleveland Guardians -145

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