Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction 9/13/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

The Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings meet in week 1 NFL action from Bank Of America Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings prediction.

Green Bay Packers Team Preview

The Green Bay Packers enter the 2026 season looking to rebound under Matt LaFleur after an 11-6 campaign in 2025 that ended in the Wild Card round with a 31-27 loss to the Chicago Bears. In 2025, Jordan Love threw for 3,381 yards and 23 touchdowns, Tucker Kraft led the team with 781 receiving yards, Josh Jacobs anchored the ground game with 873 rushing yards, and Xavier McKinney paced the defense with five interceptions. During the 2026 offseason, general manager Brian Gutekunst reinforced the defensive line by signing defensive tackle D.J. Jones and edge rusher Rashan Gary to a contract extension, while adding veteran safety Jordan Fuller to pair with McKinney in the secondary. Powered by Love, Jacobs, and an established defensive core, the Packers head into 2026 aiming to reclaim the NFC North title and make a deep postseason run.

Minnesota Vikings Recap

The Minnesota Vikings enter the 2026 season looking to return to playoff contention under head coach Kevin O’Connell following a 9-8 campaign in 2025. In 2025, Justin Jefferson led the receiving corps with 1,048 yards alongside Jordan Mason’s 758 rushing yards, while J.J. McCarthy threw for 1,632 yards and 11 touchdowns under center and edge rusher Dallas Turner spearheaded the pass rush with 8 sacks. During the 2026 offseason, general manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah added high-end talent across the roster by signing dual-threat quarterback Kyler Murray to join the quarterback room alongside McCarthy, while also signing veteran wide receiver Jauan Jennings and cornerback James Pierre to bolster depth. Backed by an offense featuring Jefferson, Jennings, and Murray, the Vikings head into 2026 aiming to challenge in a hyper-competitive NFC North and secure a return to the postseason.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends: Week 1

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Vikings have won each of their last six games without Ivan Pace Jr..
• The Packers have lost each of their last five games without MarShawn Lloyd.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without MarShawn Lloyd.
• The Vikings have covered the spread in six of their last seven games without Justin Jefferson.
• The Vikings have won the first quarter in each of their last five home games.
• The Vikings have won the first half in four of their last five home games against the Packers.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Week 1 home games.

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

• The Packers have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs without Jordan Love.
• The Vikings have lost three of their last four home openers as favorites.
• The Packers have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs without Jordan Love.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games without Andrew Van Ginkel.
• The Vikings have lost the first quarter in four of their last five September games as home favorites.
• The Packers have won the first half in six of their last seven games against NFC North opponents.
• The Packers have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games against NFC North opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Vikings’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Packers’ last five road games without Jayden Reed have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Jones has scored two or more touchdowns in each of his last three September appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC North opponents.
• Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of his six previous September appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC North opponents.
• Jauan Jennings has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last 13 appearances.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 35+ rushing yards in 17 of his 18 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC North opponents.
• Kyler Murray has recorded 270+ passing yards in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC North opponents.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 67+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous appearances with the Vikings as favorites against NFC North opponents.
• Kyler Murray has recorded 22+ completions in six of his last seven home appearances.
• Will Reichard ranked T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (11) last season.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Jayden Reed has recorded 45+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last four September games against NFC North opponents.
• Jordan Love has recorded 21+ completions in six of his last seven Sunday regular season appearances with the Packers as underdogs.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 21+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine road appearances against division opponents.
• Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in 14 of his last 16 Sunday appearances.
• Daniel Whelan ranked 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (51.7) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Vikings – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Vikings – five different players recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Packers – seven different players recorded multi-touchdown games last season – most in the NFL.
• Packers – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Prediction

I’m on Minnesota here. I’m not going to back Minnesota a ton this season as I’m not high on Kyler Murray and this Vikings offense. That being said, Minnesota is a tough road environment to deal with for opposing teams, especially in week 1 when Green Bay is banged up, has lots of question marks across the board and just aren’t looking great coming into the season. I think Minnesota shows up here and battles in the opener so give me the Vikings at home in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Minnesota -1.5