Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction 10/31/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction

Notre Dame comes into this matchup after a bye week, but they lost to BYU on a controversial finish prior to that. The Fighting Irish have scored 37+ points in three of their last four games and should have a huge day here. Navy has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 38+ in back to back games. It depends how focused Notre Dame is for this one, but they should put up a ton of points and cover on the road.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Preview

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 6-1 this season after they lost to BYU by a score of 28-24 in their last game. Notre Dame trailed 21-10 at halftime and 28-24 late in the fourth, but they were stopped in the red zone on a very controversial play for the loss. The Fighting Irish out gained BYU by a total of 376-360, went 8-19 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. CJ Carr threw for 261 yards, while Jaden Greathouse caught eight passes for 125 yards. Nolan James Jr rushed 16 times for 77 yards and one score in the loss.

Prior to that game, Notre Dame defeated Stanford by a score of 58-7 and North Carolina by a score of 37-26. The Fighting Irish have scored 41.1 points per game with 261.7 passing yards and 183.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 13.4 points against per game this season. CJ Carr has thrown for 1,639 yards with 16 touchdowns and one interception this season.

Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview

The Navy Midshipmen are 2-5 (1-4) this year after they lost to North Texas by a score of 49-39 in their last game. Navy trailed 28-17 at halftime, but they did win the second half 22-21 in the loss. The Midshipmen out gained North Texas by a total of 506-477, went 5-12 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Jackson Gutierrez threw for 133 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing 26 times for 228 yards and three scores. Merrick Barlow caught two passes for 64 yards in the loss.

Prior to that game, Navy lost to UTSA by a score of 38-34, but did defeat Tulsa by a score of 34-26 before that. The Midshipmen have scored 29.7 points per game with 119.4 passing yards and 307.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 29.1 points against per game this season. Jackson Gutierrez has thrown for 692 yards with seven touchdowns and one interception, while also rushing for 869 yards and 12 scores this year.

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

• Notre Dame has won each of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Navy has lost each of its last seven October games against AP-ranked teams.
• Notre Dame has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite at neutral venues.
• Navy has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against opponents from the FBS Independents.
• Notre Dame has won the first half in each of its last 17 October games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Notre Dame has won the first quarter in each of its last 12 games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of Navy’s last 10 games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Notre Dame’s last four games have gone OVER the total points line.

Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Jackson Gutierrez ranks T4th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (12) this season.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, CJ Carr ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Navy has suffered the most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (4).
• Navy has suffered the most road losses by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
• Notre Dame has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
• Notre Dame ranks 1st among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (235.0).

David Racey's Pick: Notre Dame -30.5