Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 8/26/24

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Blue Jays vs Red Sox pick. We will examine:

The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance

The Toronto Blue Jays recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays

Recent betting trends in games played between the Blue Jays and Red Sox

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Blue Jays vs Red Sox game

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Jays are fresh off a series versus the Los Angeles Angels. Toronto took wins in the first three games 5-3, 5-4 and 3-1. In the Sunday finale the Blue Jays gave up just three hits in an 8-2 win. Kevin Gausman had a nice start with 7.0 innings, one earned, two hits and 10 Ks.

As starter for Monday the Blue Jays are going with Jose Berrios. So far Berrios is 12-9 with a 3.79 ERA in 26 starts. Berrios is 95-75 with a 4.11 ERA in 238 career games (237 starts). The Blue Jays will face the Twins following this series.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they’re coming off a set versus the Arizona Diamondbacks. Boston lost the first two games 12-2 and 4-1. In game three the Red Sox blew a 4-0 lead in an eventual 7-5 loss. Starter Tanner Houck struggled on 6.0 innings and six earned runs.

In the starting pitcher slot Monday the Red Sox are going with Nick Pivetta. This year Pivetta is 5-8 with a 4.70 ERA in 20 starts. Pivetta is 55-67 with a 4.84 career ERA in 216 games (172 starts). The Red Sox will take on the Tigers after this series.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games on the first leg of a doubleheader have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five Monday day games against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games at Fenway Park.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents at Fenway Park.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last nine home games against the Blue Jays.
• Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last eight Monday day games at Fenway Park.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 18 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 18 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 20 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll go with the Jays. Berrios is on a nice run right now. Over his last three starts, Berrios is 3-0 with just four earned runs combined on 14 hits and four walks in 21.0 innings. Berrios has gone exactly 7.0 innings in each of those victories.

On Sunday the Blue Jays caught fire in the later innings, scoring seven runs across their final four frames. The bullpen was good enough with 2.0 innings and one earned run behind Gausman, securing the victory. I like the Jays to keep it up Monday.