Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 7/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox meet Friday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 47-56 on the year and play the Cardinals and Nationals next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .241 on the season and have a .303 OBP and a .377 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 114 hits and 32 RBI, while Kazuma Okamoto and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 175 hits and 104 RBI.

Trey Yesavage gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 4-5 with a 3.78 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Yesavage is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 52-49 on the year and play the Dodgers and Athletics next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .244 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the Boston Red Sox with 104 hits and 43 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Willson Contreras have combined for 196 hits and 116 RBI.

Patrick Sandoval gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 0-0 with a 4.82 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. Sandoval is 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won 15 of their last 16 games.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight Friday games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a loss.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight night games at Fenway Park.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Narvaez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against the Blue Jays.
• Patrick Sandoval has recorded five or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 16 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Willson Contreras ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit at least one home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last five Friday games as underdogs.
• Trey Yesavage has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.
• Trey Yesavage has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Luis Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances at Fenway Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ernie Clement ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.296) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank T2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (381).
• The Red Sox rank T2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (381).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox and Blue Jays have been heading in different directions lately, so the expected pick would be Boston. However, Yesavage has been good this season with a 3.78 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and a 1.86 batting average allowed. On the road through 36 frames, Yesavage has a 3.25 ERA and .172 allowed batting average. Sandoval has pitched just 9.1 innings this season, and he wasn’t good in his last outing against the Rays. I’m going to take a shot with the Blue Jays given the more in-form pitcher on the mound.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays