Tigers vs Twins Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 16th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 72-52 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 4-3 and 7-0. In their game two win, Detroit scored five runs in the first inning and cruised to the easy win. The Tigers recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Dingler, who went 2-4 with three RBIs in the win. Detroit started Morton, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Kahnle, Hurter, and Horn preserved the shutout. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Angels. Detroit has won five of their last six games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 595 runs with a .249 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 28 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 26 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 11-4 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 105.1 innings pitched this year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 57-65 this season after they lost game two in this series by a score of 7-0. Minnesota fell behind early in the game and they never woke up offensively in the shutout loss. The Twins recorded two hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Keaschall and Lee, who had the two hits in the loss. Minnesota started Ohl, who allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 2.1 innings for the loss, while Urena allowed two hits over 5.2 innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. Minnesota has lost four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 504 runs with a .238 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 24 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 16 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 3-4 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 44.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Twins

• The Tigers have won each of their last nine games as road favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have lost each of their last four games at Target Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against the Tigers at Target Field following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last four home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Tigers’ last 16 road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the last 12 night games between the Tigers and Twins at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 appearances at Target Field.
• James Outman has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances at Target Field.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of the Tigers’ last seven games against the Twins.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games as favorites against the Twins.
• Javier Baez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL opponents.

Tigers vs Twins Prediction 

Detroit dominated game two in this series on Friday night and they are starting to heat back up, as they are looking for their third series win in a row. The Tigers are 33-28 on the road this year, while the Twins are 32-27 at home. Minnesota has struggled at the plate and on the mound over the last five games and they will turn to Matthews, who has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five outings. Detroit is going with Mize, who has allowed five earned runs in his last 11.0 innings of work. I know Matthews just pitched a gem against Detroit, but this Tigers team is heating up and we are getting them at a decent price. Take Detroit here.