Tigers vs Twins Prediction 4/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 9th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 4-8 this season after they lost the first three games in this series by scores of 3-7, 2-4, and 6-8. In their game three loss, Detroit nearly erased a 7-0 deficit with a huge seventh inning, but they came up short in the loss. The Tigers recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Torres, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Valdez allowed 10 hits and eight earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Finnegan pitched a scoreless seventh inning. Prior to this series, Detroit won two out of three against the Cardinals, but lost all three against the Diamondbacks before that. 

This season, Detroit has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 53 runs with a .239 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with two home runs and eight RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added two home runs and seven RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 0-1 with a 7.56 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP over 8.1 innings pitched this season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 6-6 this year after they won game three in this series by a score of 8-6 on Wednesday night. Minnesota scored six runs in the first inning and they led 7-0 in the fourth, but they barely escaped with the win. The Twins recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lewis, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Ober allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Funderburk picked up the save. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Rays and two out of three against the Royals. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 57 runs with a .221 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Josh Bell has led the Twins with two home runs and nine RBIs, while Tristan Gray has added one home run and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Mick Abel, who is 0-2 with an 11.05 ERA and a 2.86 WHIP over 7.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have won four of the Tigers’ last five games at Target Field.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against the Tigers.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Tigers.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Twins have lost seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Twins at Target Field following a loss.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Twins’ last seven day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Tigers’ last four games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last six Thursday day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven day games against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of his last eight appearances with the Twins as underdogs against the Tigers.
• Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in five of his last 10 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (115).
• The Twins rank 8th in the league for runs scored this season (57).
• The Tigers rank T6th in the league for triples this season (2).
• The Tigers rank T6th in the league for home runs allowed this season (8).

Tigers vs Twins Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup looking for the rare four game sweep, but they were lucky to get the win on Wednesday, as they allowed a lot of baserunners. The Twins are 4-2 at home this year, while the Tigers are 2-7 on the road. Detroit has lost four in a row and they have allowed 24 runs during that span. The Tigers are starting Flaherty, who can’t be trusted, while Able has been awful for the Twins. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5