Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 07/04/2025 Picks

The Texas Rangers and San Diego Padres meet Friday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Pick.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 43-44 on the year and play the Angels and Astros next. The Texas Rangers are batting .229 on the season, have a .296 OBP, and a .368 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers pitching staff has a 3.23 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Texas Rangers with 75 hits and 21 RBI, while Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia have combined for 143 hits and 89 RBI. 

Kumar Rocker gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 3-4 with a 6.13 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Rocker’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 46-40 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Phillies next. The San Diego Padres are batting .245 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and a .374 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 95 hits and 50 RBI while Luis Arraez and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 175 hits and 70 RBI.

Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-4 with a 3.84 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. This will be Vasquez’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

The Rangers have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
The Padres have won each of their last six home games against the Rangers.
The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games following a road loss.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL West opponents following a home win.
The Padres have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Petco Park against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games at Petco Park.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The Padres have lost each of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
The Rangers have won four of their last five games against National League opponents.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Martin Maldonado has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances after not playing the previous day.
Elias Diaz has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Rangers after not playing the previous day.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against the Padres.
Corey Seager has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against the Padres after not playing the previous day.
Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Getting behind Rocker and his 6.13 ERA and 1.54 WHIP just isn’t an option. It gets even worse through 16.2 innings, where Rocker has an 11.34 ERA and .400 allowed batting average. The Padres have the bats to add to Rocker’s struggles, and I want nothing to do with it. Vasquez has been respectable this season, and he’s at his best at home, where he has a 3.14 ERA and .242 allowed batting average. Give me the Padres at home with the more favorable pitching matchup.