Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 6/12/25 MLB Picks

The Texas Rangers and the Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will send out Patrick Corbin for the start here, and Corbin is 3-5 with a 3.52 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 1-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Twins. The Minnesota Twins will start Bailey Ober here, and Ober is 4-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. In his career, Ober is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers will be looking to bounce back from their 6-2 loss at the hands of the Twins in Wednesday’s matchup to sit at 32-36 on the year. After this series, the Rangers will head home for a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Rangers Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Corey Seager has 34 hits, including 6 home runs and 12 RBIs, while Adolis Garcia has 48 hits with 13 doubles, 7 home runs, 30 RBIs, and 7 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 55 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs, and 27 RBIs, while Wyatt Langford has 49 hits with 8 doubles, 12 home runs, 27 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases, and Jonah Heim has 7 homers and 20 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 56 hits with 9 doubles, 5 home runs, and 18 RBIs with 8 stolen bases, and Marcus Semien’s added 7 homers and 28 RBIs but has 54 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Twins have lost seven of their last eight Thursday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the Twins’ last six games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games following a win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit at least one home run in two of the Rangers’ last three games as underdogs.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last four games.
• Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine appearances in day games.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Rangers from Wednesday’s matchup to sit at 36-31 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a series against the Houston Astros.

Twins Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Byron Buxton has 55 hits along with 8 doubles, a team-high 11 home runs, and 41 RBIs with 11 stolen bases and 3 triples, while Carlos Correa has 51 hits with 13 doubles, and Willi Castro has 44 hits with 9 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 6 home runs and 24 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 63 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 66 hits, 11 doubles, 4 home runs, and 36 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 63 hits with 9 doubles, 10 home runs, and 32 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have won 12 of their last 14 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have covered the run line in 12 of their last 14 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last eight games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Willi Castro has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Carlos Correa has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances with the Twins as favorites against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last four day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rangers’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m on the Rangers here. It’s not a game I’m rushing to the window to bet, but the thing is that the Twins’ bullpen has been roughed up in a lot of their recent games, with an ERA just under seven in their last five games. I’m not a huge fan of Patrick Corbin but he’s started to turn things around with the Rangers this season, and I think that the Rangers pull off the upset here. Give me the Rangers in this one.