Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 8/19/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Royals Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 19th at the Kauffman Stadium in the second game of this series, with the Royals having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 64-61 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 34-29 home record and are 53-71 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 home victory over the Rangers, and are 6-1 in their last 8 games. Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games and are playing the Tigers and the White Sox next.

The Royals have a .246 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 140 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .302 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in RBI, with 82, while Salvador Perez adds a team-high 23 home runs.

Seth Lugo (R) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has an 8-6 record, 3.77 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 62-64 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 25-38 road record and are 54-69 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 road defeat by the Royals, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Blue Jays and the Royals next.

The Rangers have a .233 batting average this season, .301 OBP and .378 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Marcus Semien leads the Rangers with 105 hits, while Corey Seager is the team’s best hitter with a .264 batting average, adding a team-high 18 home runs. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 64.

Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 9-7 record, 3.36 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Royals have won the first inning in each of their last four night games.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against AL West opponents.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Rangers.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Royals have lost nine of their last 10 Tuesday games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have won seven of their last eight night games against the Royals following a loss.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday home games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 night games against the Royals at Kauffman Stadium.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last seven games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Rangers’ last eight games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games at Kauffman Stadium.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (863).
• The Royals rank 29th in the league for walks this season (321).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.45).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (466).

Rangers vs Royals Prediction

The Royals have won their last four meetings against the Rangers, all of them this season. Both teams are tied 2-2 wins in their last four meetings in Kansas City, and under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Rangers vs Royals Prediction, the Royals are coming as -115 home favorites. Both pitchers have been excellent this season, with a combined 7.05 ERA, and they have even better home/awa splits. Lugo has a 3.33 home ERA, while Kelly a 3.06 road ERA. Both teams also have top-8 bullpen ERAs, and they have not been very effective offensively this season, averaging just 7.9 runs per game combined. Yesterday’s game had 7 total runs and I expect another low-scoring affair today. Take the under 8.5.