Jul 18, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA;  Detroit Tigers relief pitcher Tyler Holton (87) pitches the ball to first base to get Texas Rangers third baseman Josh Smith (8) out during the sixth inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 07/19/2025 Picks

Pick details

Detroit (59-39) vs Texas (49-49)

July 19, 2025 at 07:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -106 / Detroit -104 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers are visiting the Texas Rangers on Saturday, July 19th at the Globe Life Field in the second game of this series, with the Rangers having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers Prediction. We will examine:

The Texas Rangers’ recent form and player performance
The Detroit Tigers’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers game

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 49-49 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the AL West. The Rangers have a 27-19 home record and are 38-58 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-0 home victory over the Tigers, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they are playing the Athletics and the Braves next.

The Rangers have a .232 batting average this season, a .300 OBP, and a .375 slugging percentage. Texas’s pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 84 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .275 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 56.

Kumar Rocker (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 3-4 record, 6.39 ERA, and 1.50 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 59-39 record this season and are sitting in first place in the AL Central. The Tigers have a 27-21 road record and are 50-43 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-2 road defeat by the Rangers and have five consecutive losses. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games, and they are playing the Pirates and the Blue Jays next.

The Tigers have a .251 batting average this season, .323 OBP, and .422 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 104 hits, adding a team-high 78 RBI, and 24 home runs. Zach McKinstry is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average.

Keider Montero (R) will take the mound for the Tigers, and he has a 4-1 record, 4.02 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The Rangers have won 13 of their last 14 home games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
The Tigers have lost each of their last five games.
The Rangers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Tigers.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.
The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against American League opponents.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

The Tigers have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL West opponents following a road loss.
The Rangers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Tigers following a home win.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Rangers’ last eight games.
The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Tigers have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 13 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Rangers’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Tigers’ last six games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six home games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Tigers’ last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.25).
The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (346).
The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (42).
The Tigers rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (20).

Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers Prediction

The Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Tigers, having won their last three meetings this season. Under is 6-4-1 in their last 11 meetings.    
In this Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Tigers have a better overall record, but both teams have exactly 27 home/away wins. Montero has been lights out recently for the Tigers, having a 5-0 and 0.96 ERA in his last five starts, while Rocker has been terrible for the Rangers. The Tigers also have a superior offense so I think that they will bounce back today. Take the Detroit Tigers on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Detroit Tigers -104

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