Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 9/1/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 1st at the Chase Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 68-70 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 34-32 home record and are 65-64 in over/under They are coming off a 4-5 road defeat by the Dodgers, that ended their four-game losing streak. Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Red Sox and the Giants next.

The Diamondbacks have a .250 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .437 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with 144 hits, adding a team-high 87 RBI. Ketel Marte is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average. Corbin Carroll leads the team in home runs with 27.

Ryne Nelson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 7-3 record, 3.53 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 71-67 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 29-40 road record and are 61-74 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-6 road victory over the A’s, and are 8-1 in their last 9 games. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Brewers and the Astros next.

The Rangers have a .238 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .390 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with 112 hits, and leads the team in RBI, with 73. Corey Seager is the team’s best hitter with a .271 batting average, adding a team-high 21 home runs.

Patrick Corbin (L) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 7-9 record, 4.33 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

The Rangers have lost each of their last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last 10 night games against the Rangers following a road loss.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Monday games as underdogs.
The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last three home games.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Rangers following a loss.
The underdogs have won four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites.
The underdogs have covered the run line in 15 of the Diamondbacks’ last 16 games.
The Rangers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
The Rangers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games.
The Rangers have won the first inning in four of their last five road games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Rangers’ last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rangers’ last nine night games at Chase Field.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight night games between the Rangers and Diamondbacks.

Matchup/League Facts

The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (33).
The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for RBIs this season (664).
The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.43).
The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (504).

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 head-to-head meetings against the Rangers, but the Rangers have won their 5 meetings before that. Both teams are tied 2-2 wins in their last 4 meetings in Arizona. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -150 home favorites. Patrick Corbin takes the mound for the Rangers, hence the favoritism for the Dbacks, but the Rangers have been one of the hottest teams in baseball lately. Corbin is coming off a shutout start against the Angels, while Nelson has not been in the best form lately for the Dbacks, having 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts. Nelson was torched in his only start against the Rangers this season with 5 earned runs, and the bullpen advantage is huge for the Rangers, as they have the 8th-best bullpen ERA in the league, compared to Dbacks’ 5th-worst. I like the Rangers here as road dogs, so take them on the moneyline at plus money.