Tampa Bay Rays vs Oakland Athletics Prediction 8/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Athletics meet Monday in MLB action from Sutter Health Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Ryan Pepiot for the start here and is 7-9 with a 3.77 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pepiot is 2-0 with a 3.06 ERA and 21 strikeouts against the Athletics. Jeffrey Springs will get the nod for the Athletics here and is 10-7 with a 3.89 ERA and 107 strikeouts this season. This will be Springs’ second career start against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to rebound from their 6-3 loss at the hands of the Seattle Mariners last time out to sit at 57-62 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Rays Lose Three In A Row

Jonathan Aranda has 113 hits with 22 doubles, 12 home runs and 54 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 98 hits with 22 homers and 55 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 114 hits with 20 doubles, a team-high 32 home runs and 80 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 123 hits with 20 doubles, 20 homers and 67 RBIs.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Athletics have lost each of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Athletics following a road loss.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Athletics following a loss.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last three night games.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Chandler Simpson ranks 4th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Athletics Recap

The Athletics come into this game looking to build on their 3-2 win over the Baltimore Orioles last time out to sit at 53-67 this season. After this series, the Athletics will take on the Los Angeles Angels.

Athletics Win Back-To-Back Series

Jacob Wilson has 115 hits, 17 doubles and a .312 batting average while Tyler Soderstrom has 111 hits with 22 doubles, 21 home runs and 68 RBIs this season. Brent Rooker has 129 hits with 28 doubles, 24 home runs and 70 RBIs but also has 115 strikeouts this season while Nick Kurtz has a team-high 23 home runs and 62 RBIs with 19 doubles. Shea Langeliers has 90 hits with 23 home runs and 52 RBIs while Lawrence Butler’s also chipped in 17 stolen bases and 25 doubles as part of his 100 hits as well as 15 home runs and 44 RBIs.

Why the Athletics will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last eight Monday road games against AL West opponents.
• The Athletics have won eight of their last 10 games against American League opponents.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Monday games against AL West opponents.

Athletics Player Prop Facts

• Shea Langeliers has hit a home run in three of the Athletics’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gio Urshela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Shea Langeliers has recorded a Double in six of the Athletics’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brent Rooker ranks T9th in the league in Hits (129) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Athletics’ last nine home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rays’ last four games as underdogs against the Athletics have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics Prediction

I’m backing the Athletics here. I get the case to be made for the Rays, but Ryan Pepiot at times this season has had an issue with pitch control and giving up home runs and that could be problematic too with how hitter friendly the ballpark in Sacramento has been. The Athletics are still a solid lineup that’s started to find some offense in recent weeks, and I think they get to Pepiot and do enough to start the series with a win here. Give me the Athletics to draw first blood in this series.