Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction 07/28/2025 Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees meet Monday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 53-53 on the year and play the Dodgers, Angels, and Mariners next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .255 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .401 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 114 hits and 61 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 208 hits and 119 RBI. 

Drew Rasmussen gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 7-5 with a 2.93 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. Rasmussen is 2-1 with a 0.34 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 57-48 on the year and play the Marlins, Rangers, and Astros next. The New York Yankees are batting .254 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and a .454 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 129 hits and 85 RBI while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 207 hits and 95 RBI.

Cam Schlittler gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 1-0 with a 4.35 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Schlittler’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have won each of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium following a win.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium following a win.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games at Yankee Stadium.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against the Yankees following a road loss.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Rays following a win.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites.
• Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has hit a home run in three of his five previous road appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Junior Caminero ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction

Rasmussen has been money this season with a 2.93 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, but it doesn’t matter if the Rays have lost six of their last seven games and can’t string together offense. The Yankees have issues of their own and the jury is still out on Schlittler, who has 10.1 career MLB innings. Two struggling teams I’m not excited to back. However, the Yankees are at home and are led by an explosive batting order. If the Rays continue to have issues scoring more than two runs, this series won’t end well. I’ll lean Yankees if forced to pick.