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Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction 6/1/25 MLB Picks

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Houston Astros (31-27) vs Tampa Bay Rays (30-28)

June 1, 2025 at 02:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Astros -205 / Tampa Bay Rays +170 — Over/Under: 7.5

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The Tampa Bay Rays and the Houston Astros meet Sunday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will start Taj Bradley in this one and Bradley is 4-4 with a 4.38 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bradley is 2-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 23 strikeouts against the Astros. Hunter Brown will get the start for the Astros here and Brown is 7-3 with a 2.00 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. In his career, Brown is 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 16 strikeouts against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to build on their 16-3 win over the Astros last time out to improve to 30-28 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head home for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Rays Win 8 Of Their Last 10

Jonathan Aranda has 55 hits with a team-high 11 doubles, 7 home runs and 31 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 49 hits with 11 homers and 30 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 52 hits with 11 doubles, a team-high 11 home runs and 32 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 50 hits with 11 doubles, 7 homers and 31 RBIs and Kameron Misner has 35 hits with 8 doubles, 4 homers and 17 RBIs as well while Christopher Morel has 50 strikeouts while Lowe has 54 strikeouts and Misner has 49 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 18 stolen bases while Taylor Walls has 7 stolen bases and Chandler Simpson has 19 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won each of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last six day games against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Rays and Astros.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four road games against AL West opponents.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Rays as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jonathan Aranda ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.407) this season.

Houston Astros Recap


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The Houston Astros come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Rays on Saturday to slip to 31-27 on the year. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Astros Looking For Some Consistency After Alternating Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Jose Altuve has 57 hits including 9 home runs and 22 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 65 hits with 7 homers and 27 RBIs with 9 stolen bases while Yordan Alvarez has 4 doubles and 18 RBIs with 21 strikeouts as well. Jake Meyers has 9 doubles as well and Christian Walker has also accrued a team-high 62 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 4 stolen bases while Jake Meyers has 8 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has a team-high 11 home runs with 32 RBIs of his own and Cam Smith has contributed 3 homers and 17 RBIs.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Astros have won each of their last nine games at Daikin Park following a loss.
  • The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games at Daikin Park following a road win.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a home loss.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a road win.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Jeremy Pena has hit at least one home run in three of the Astros’ last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Isaac Paredes has scored a run in each of his last six Sunday day appearances.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Astros as home favorites.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Astros as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Hunter Brown ranks T1st in the league for Wins (7) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Rays’ last six day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the last 12 games between the Rays and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the Astros here. I get the case to be made for Tampa Bay after blowing out the Astros in their two wins in this series so far while the Astros had to win with pitching on Friday. The thing is that the Astros are back to having a clear pitching edge in this matchup with Hunter Brown getting the start in this one and I think that the Astros get to Taj Bradley in this game. I think the Astros salvage the series split here so give me Houston.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Houston Astros -205

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