St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 8/4/24

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Chicago Cubs (54-58) vs St. Louis Cardinals (56-54)

August 4, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -149 / St. Louis Cardinals +126 — Over/Under: 8.5

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The St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs meet Sunday in MLB action from Wrigley Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The St. Louis Cardinals will send out Miles Mikolas for the start here and Mikolas is 8-8 with a 4.99 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Cubs, Mikolas is 1-2 with a 6.17 ERA and 17 strikeouts. Justin Steele will get the start for the Cubs and is 2-5 with a 3.38 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Cardinals, Steele is 4-0 with a 2.30 ERA and 25 strikeouts.

St. Louis Cardinals Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals come into this one looking to earn a series split after getting on the board in the series with a 5-4 win over the Cubs in Saturday’s matchup. The win gave the Cardinals a chance to get a positive result from the series and build on their series win over the Texas Rangers to start the week.

Cardinals Trying To Close In On Brewers Atop NL Central

Nolan Arenado has 105 hits along with 14 doubles and 48 RBIs while Brendan Donovan has a team-high 109 hits and 52 RBIs with 22 doubles. Nolan Gorman has a team-high 19 home runs along with 50 RBIs in addition to 13 doubles while Masyn Winn has a .279 batting average and 9 stolen bases. Paul Goldschmidt also has 131 K’s while Gorman has a team-high 141 strikeouts as well this season. Alec Burleson also has 19 home runs and a team-high 64 RBIs as well this year.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The underdogs have won seven of the Cubs’ last eight games.
  • The Cubs have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Cubs’ last eight games.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs will try to bounce back and win the series after falling short in Saturday’s matchup. The Cubs could use the series win here to bounce back from a series loss to the Cincinnati Reds to start the week.

Cubs Trying To Get Back To .500

Cody Bellinger has 92 hits including 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 42 RBIs. Nico Hoerner has 103 hits, 22 doubles and a .257 batting average. Michael Busch has 15 homers with 43 RBIs but has 121 strikeouts as well this season. Ian Happ also has a team-high 24 doubles with 17 home runs and 62 RBIs but also has 118 strikeouts this season. Seiya Suzuki’s also chipped in 16 homers and 53 RBIs this season.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The home team has won four of the Cardinals’ last five games.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

I’m on the Cubs here. I haven’t been the biggest fan of the Cubs in their current form as of late, but Justin Steele has come back to being one of the better options in their rotation and I think he finds a way to bounce back here after a rough start last time out. Steele’s had a ton of success against the Cardinals as of late, and St. Louis has been one of the worst teams in baseball against lefties this entire season. I’m also not a fan of Miles Mikolas and his game if I’m being honest, so give me the Cubs for the series win on Sunday night.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Chicago Cubs -149

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