St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 6/14/24

In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 14th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Cardinals recent form and recent player performance 
• The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
• Recent betting trends in games played between St. Louis and Chicago
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between St. Louis and Chicago

Cardinals Move into Second Place 

The St. Louis Cardinals are 33-34 this season and they have won three of their last four games. St. Louis is coming off of a series win against the Pirates, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cardinals split four games with the Rockies, lost two out of three against the Astros, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. St. Louis is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL Central. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 263 runs with a .237 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Nolan Gorman is batting .215 with 15 home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has scored at least four runs in nine of their last eleven games. 

Cubs Lost Another Series 

The Chicago Cubs are 33-36 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Tampa Bay, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cubs lost three out of four against the Reds, won both games against the White Sox, and lost two out of three against the Reds. Chicago is 5-9 in their last 14 games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 292 runs with a .228 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Cody Bellinger is batting .267 with nine home runs and 32 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Kyle Gibson, who is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 76.2 innings pitched this year. Gibson has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight starts and has gone at least 5.2 innings in his last three. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jordan Wicks, who is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 26.1 innings pitched this season. Wicks has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, but has only gone more than 4.2 innings once in that span. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Cardinals have lost each of their last seven day games at Wrigley Field following a home win.The Cubs have won each of their last three day games against the Cardinals at Wrigley Field following a loss.The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a road loss.The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games at Wrigley Field following a home win.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight day games after playing the previous day.The Cardinals have won four of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the Cubs’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six day games at Wrigley Field.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four games.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

St. Louis comes into this series one game below .500, but they are second in the NL Central and they have played much better over the last couple of weeks. Chicago started the season playing very well, but they have had some issues recently. The Cubs are 18-13 at home, while St. Louis is 16-19 on the road. The Cardinals are starting Kyle Gibson, who has been decent this year. The Cubs are going with Jordan Wicks, who has bounced between starting and relieving. I don’t love this pitching matchup and the Cardinals have gone over 7.5 in six straight games that Gibson has started. My St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 7.5