Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Seattle Mariners and New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 68-55 on the year and play the Phillies, Athletics, and Padres next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .244 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .411 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 131 hits and 69 RBI, while JP Crawford and Randy Arozarena have combined for 229 hits and 102 RBI. 

Bryan Woo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 10-6 with a 3.08 ERA and 145 strikeouts this season. This will be Woo’s first career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 64-58 on the year and play the Nationals, Braves, and Phillies next. The New York Mets are batting .242 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .414 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 123 hits and 69 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 234 hits and 166 RBI.

Nolan McLean will make his major league debut when he takes the mound. McLean was 12-15 with a 3.10 ERA and 175 strikeouts in his minor league career. This year alone, McLean was 8-5 with a 2.45 ERA and 127 strikeouts. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won four of the Mariners’ last five games at Citi Field.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Mets’ last eight games at Citi Field.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Mariners have won seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games against AL opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games at Citi Field against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Starling Marte has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Mariners.
• Juan Soto ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.384) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mariners’ last four road games against NL opponents.
• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last four road games against NL opponents.
• Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 road games against NL opponents.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.593) this season.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets continue to pile up the losses, and it’s to the point you should be blindly fading them until they get their act together. McLean is a top-40 prospect in baseball, so he’s not your normal rookie, but I have a rule of not betting on pitchers making their debut simply because we don’t have a sample size. Woo has been sharp this season, and that includes four runs allowed in his last 13 innings. I want nothing to do with the Mets. Give me the Mariners.