Oct 5, 2025; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Mariners second baseman Jorge Polanco (7) hits a single against the Detroit Tigers in the eighth inning during game two of the ALDS round for the 2025 MLB playoffs at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Brashear-Imagn Images

Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 10/8/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Seattle (90-72) vs Detroit (87-75)

October 8, 2025 at 03:08 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit +115 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and the Detroit Tigers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Bryce Miller for the start here and Miller was 4-6 with a 5.68 ERA and 74 strikeouts in the regular season. Casey Mize will get the start for the Tigers here and was 14-6 with a 3.87 ERA and 139 strikeouts in the regular season.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to build on their 8-4 win over the Tigers from Tuesday’s game three to take a 2-1 series lead in the best-of-5.

Mariners Looking To Close Out Detroit

Jorge Polanco has 125 hits including 30 doubles, 26 home runs and 78 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 147 hits with 24 doubles, a team-high 60 home runs and 125 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 146 hits with 32 doubles, 27 home runs, 76 RBIs and 31 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 174 hits with 31 doubles, 4 triples, 32 home runs, 95 RBIs and 30 stolen bases. J.P Crawford has 151 hits with 24 doubles, 12 home runs and 58 RBIs.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to rebound after their loss to the Mariners in game three on Tuesday.

Tigers Trying To Keep Season Alive

Spencer Torkelson has 135 hits along with a .240 batting average including 31 home runs, 27 doubles and 78 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 26 home runs and 62 RBIs while Riley Greene has 155 hits with 31 doubles, 36 home runs and 111 RBIs but also has a team-high 201 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 13 home runs and 57 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 23 doubles, 11 triples, 12 home runs and 49 RBIs of his own along with 117 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 107 hits and 17 doubles as well as 12 home runs and 57 RBIs this season. Colt Keith also has 106 hits with 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 45 RBIs.

Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers Betting Trends: October 8, 2025

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Casey Mize      Record this season (inc. playoffs): 14-6      ERA: 3.85
  • Home Record: 8-2
  • Last 5 against Mariners: 2-1

Why the Detroit Tigers will win


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  • The Mariners have lost each of their last eight Wednesday road games.
  • The Tigers have won six of their last seven day games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Wednesday road games.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last 10 Wednesday day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Tigers have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against AL West opponents.
  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller      Record this season: 4-6      ERA: 5.68
  • Road Record: 2-3
  • Last 5 against Tigers: 2-0

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have won seven of the Tigers’ last eight games at Comerica Park.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line each of their last six games at Comerica Park against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 day games against the Tigers.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Tigers’ last 10 home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Mariners’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mariners’ last nine games as road underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers’ last four games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Casey Mize has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded two or more hits in each of the Tigers’ last four home games.
  • Jake Rogers has hit a home run in each of his four previous appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against the Mariners.
  • Casey Mize ranks T8th in the league for Wins (14) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Jorge Polanco has hit at least one home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded a Double in each of the Mariners’ last four playoff games as underdogs.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Bryce Miller has recorded a win in three of his four previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (60) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (61).
  • The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (36).
  • The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (234).
  • The Mariners rank T29th in the league for triples this season (9).

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Mariners in this one. I just think that the Mariners have the edge in pitching across the board over Detroit and we got a taste of that in Tuesday’s matchup as Logan Gilbert was fantastic despite struggling on the road for much of the season. Seattle’s finding timely hitting and I think they do so here as well to pick up another win and to close out the series. Give me the Mariners.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Seattle -135

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