Aug 29, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Atlanta Braves infielder Matt Olson (28) hits a single against the Philadelphia Phillies in the fifth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Seattle (73-68) vs Atlanta (64-77)

September 6, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta -145 — Over/Under: +9

(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and the Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out Bryce Miller for the start here and Miller is 4-5 with a 5.71 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. In his career, Miller is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Atlanta. Hurston Waldrep will start here for the Braves and is 4-0 with a 1.01 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. This will be Waldrep’s first career start against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-1 loss at the hands of the Braves in Friday’s matchup to sit at 73-68 this season. After this series, the Mariners will head home for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Mariners Lose 4 Straight And 6 Of Last 7

Jorge Polanco has 103 hits including 23 home runs and 63 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 125 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 51 home runs and 109 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 126 hits with 29 doubles, 26 home runs, 66 RBIs and 25 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 151 hits with 24 doubles, 4 triples, 28 home runs, 82 RBIs and 24 stolen bases. J.P Crawford has 131 hits with 20 doubles, 9 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their win over Seattle from Friday to sit at 64-77 this season. After this series, the Braves will head home for a rematch series against the Chicago Cubs.

Braves Win Back-To-Back Games

Austin Riley has 108 hits including 16 home runs, 54 RBIs and 20 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 128 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 123 hits with 13 home runs and 60 RBIs in addition to 12 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 142 hits with 36 doubles, 21 home runs and 77 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 95 hits with 20 home runs and 62 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 130 hits with 21 doubles, 6 triples, 17 home runs and 73 RBIs and 15 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 8 stolen bases as well this season.

Seattle Mariners @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 6, 2025

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Hurston Waldrep      Record this season: 4-0      ERA: 1.01
  • Home Record: 2-0
  • Last 5 against Mariners: –

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Mariners have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
  • The home team has won seven of the Mariners’ last eight games.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
  • The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last five games at Truist Park.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller      Record this season: 4-5      ERA: 5.71
  • Road Record: 2-3
  • Last 5 against Braves: 0-1

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Braves have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Mariners’ last four games.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Mariners’ last nine games.
  • The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL West opponents.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Mariners’ last 10 night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Braves’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mariners’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Harris has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against the Mariners.
  • Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 home appearances against AL opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Jorge Polanco has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Mariners as underdogs.
  • Bryce Miller has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (51) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (502).
  • The Braves rank 25th in the league for steals this season (72).
  • The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (189).
  • The Mariners rank T29th in the league for triples this season (7).

Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the Braves here. I get the case to be made for the Mariners on the road, but Waldrep’s pitched really well so far this season and more importantly, the Braves have been backing him up offensively to get the wins at home as well. I think Waldrep has another strong showing here against a Mariners team that’s looking like they could be running out of steam, and I think Atlanta picks up the win here too. Give me Atlanta.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Atlanta -145

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