San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 9/7/24

Pick details

San Diego Padres (80-62) vs San Francisco Giants (69-72)

September 7, 2024 at 08:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -156 / San Francisco Giants +131 — Over/Under: 6.5

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The San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Francisco Giants will start Logan Webb here and Webb is 11-9 with a 3.43 ERA and 154 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Webb is 1-1 with a 1.51 ERA and 24 strikeouts. Dylan Cease will get the start for the Padres here and is 12-10 with a 3.62 ERA and 201 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cease is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 25 strikeouts against the Giants.

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants will try to rebound after a frustrating 5-1 loss to the Padres in Friday’s series opener. The loss put San Francisco at risk of yet another series loss after losses to the Diamondbacks, Marlins, and Brewers over the last two weeks.

Giants Running Out Of Steam

Entering Friday’s matchup, Thairo Estrada has 79 hits along with 9 home runs and 47 RBIs while also chipping in 15 doubles. Michael Conforto has 87 hits with 15 home runs, 25 doubles, and 55 RBIs while Matt Chapman has 127 hits of his own alongside 34 doubles with 22 homers, 69 RBIs, and 13 stolen bases. Chapman also has the dubious distinction of leading the Giants with 143 strikeouts this season. Heliot Ramos has 20 home runs and 67 RBIs as well this year.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Giants have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Padres have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games following a road loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites following a home win.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres will be out to build on their series-opening win over the Giants on Friday. The win put the Padres in a good spot to build on series wins over the Tigers and Rays over the last week.

Padres Inching Closer To Playoff Spot

Going into Friday’s game, Jurickson Profar has 137 hits along with a .278 batting average and 24 doubles with 22 homers and 82 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 78 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts, and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 23 home runs and 86 RBIs but also has 103 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 22 home runs, 82 RBIs, and 23 doubles with 6 triples this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Giants have lost each of their last eight Saturday night road games.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Giants.

Giants vs. Padres Prediction

I’m on the Padres here. I like what Logan Webb brings to the table, but he’s much more effective at home. That’s just the long and short of it. Cease hasn’t had a ton of games where he’s looked very Dylan Cease-like at times, but I still think he’s a quality option here and I think that with how hot the Padres’ lineup has been behind him, the Padres should be able to get the job done once again. Give me San Diego.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: San Diego -156

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