Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 9/7/24

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 76-65 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Houston won game one in this series by a score of 8-0 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Astros lost all three against the Reds, swept the Royals, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. Houston is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are first in the AL West. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .227 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 644 runs with a .260 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage. Jose Altuve is batting .297 with 18 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Astros this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 2-1 with a 5.33 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 25.1 innings pitched this year. Rodriguez has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 7-9 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 150.2 innings pitched this season. Kikuchi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Astros 

• The Astros have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last nine games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against the Astros following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Diamondbacks' last 10-day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the last four games between the Diamondbacks and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Astros' last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last three games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yainer Diaz has recorded a Double in three of the Astros' last four games against NL opponents at Minute Maid Park.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one Single in six of the Astros' last seven games as home favorites.
• Ben Gamel has scored a run in each of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last 10 home games.
• Yusei Kikuchi has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Astros' last five games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Astros' last nine games against NL opponents at Minute Maid Park.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ketel Marte has hit a home run in six of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Diamondbacks' last six-day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Diamondbacks' last four-day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in seven of the Diamondbacks' last eight games.
• Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros Prediction 

Houston was able to bounce back after getting swept by the Reds in their last series with a shutout win in game one on Friday, and they will go for two in a row here. The Astros are 40-29 at home this season, while the Diamondbacks are 40-32 on the road. Arizona is the highest-scoring team in the MLB this year, but they failed to score a run in game one. Kikuchi has pitched very well since coming over to Houston, but I think he is going to have some issues against this lineup. I don’t love Rodriguez on the mound for Arizona, but I will gladly take the highest-scoring team in the MLB at this price.