Pick details
| MATCHUP | San Diego Padres | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 38-35 | 35-39 |
| Spread | +1.5 -163 | -1.5 135 |
| Moneyline | +135 | -163 |
| Total | Over 7 (-119) | Under 7 (-102) |
| Where | Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas | |
| When | Friday, June 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 38-35 on the year and play the Braves and Dodgers next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 218 on the season, have a .291 OBP, and have a .361 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 79 hits and 26 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 112 hits and 58 RBI.
Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 6-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. This will be Vasquez’s second career game against the Texas Rangers.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 35-39 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Marlins next. The Texas Rangers are batting .239 on the season, with a .316 OBP and a .384 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers’ pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Josh Jung leads the Texas Rangers with 80 hits and 30 RBI, while Jake Burger and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 137 hits and 67 RBI.
Jacob deGrom gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 5-4 with a 3.17 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. DeGrom is 6-3 with a 1.28 ERA and 82 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won six of their last seven night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have lost five of their last six night games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the Rangers.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Padres following a home loss.
- The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.
- The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last four road games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Rangers’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Rangers’ last 13 games at Globe Life Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Padres’ last nine night games.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of his three previous home appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against the Padres.
- Jake Burger has recorded two or more hits in each of his last seven appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
- Josh Jung ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.301) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Gavin Sheets has hit at least one home run in each of the Padres’ last two games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Gavin Sheets has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rangers rank 25th in the league for steals this season (35).
- The Rangers rank 24th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.384).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.218).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.361).
San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers Prediction
The Rangers are going to be favored because they’re at home with deGrom on the mound. I get it. However, the Rangers have been a mess this week and aren’t a team I’m excited to back right now. Vasquez has also held his own with a 3.63 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, and he has a 2.08 ERA and a .234 allowed batting average in 34.2 road innings. We’ve been fading the Padres a lot over the last month or so, but with the plus money, this is a spot where I want them against a struggling Rangers side.



