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San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 6/8/25 MLB Picks

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Milwaukee Brewers (35-30) vs San Diego Padres (36-27)

June 8, 2025 at 01:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -163 / San Diego Padres +133 — Over/Under: 8

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In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 8, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres (26-27, 16-17 Away) haven’t lost any of the last four series. They won three consecutive series before splitting a four-game series with the San Francisco Giants. Following a narrow 4-3 loss last night to the Brewers in Game 2, the Padres will be looking to bounce back in this rubber match. Luis Arraez led the offense with two RBI, while Stephen Kolek pitched for 5.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on three hits with two strikeouts and four walks. David Morgan took the loss. 

This season, the Padres average 4.10 runs per game (21st in the MLB) on a .248/.314/.377 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.48 ERA (6th) and 1.20 WHIP (11th). Gavin Sheets leads the Padres with a .254 batting average, 11 home runs, and 38 RBI this season.

Ryan Bergert will take the mound for the Padres on Sunday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 1-0 record in one start this year with a 2.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 9.0 innings.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers (35-30, 19-11 Home) are without a loss in the previous five series and hope to stay that way in this rubber match against the Padres. During this positive span, the Brewers beat the Orioles, split with the Pirates, swept the Red Sox and Phillies, and defeated the Guardians. Caleb Durbin hit a walk-off homer last night to give his team a 5-4 victory. Jose Quintana pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on five hits with four walks and three strikeouts. Trevor Megill was credited with the win. 

This year, the Brewers average 4.49 runs per game (10th in the MLB) on a .238/.316/.365 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 3.86 ERA (15th) and 1.31 WHIP (19th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .237 batting average, 13 home runs, and 41 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, who is 5-4 in 13 starts this season, with a 2.92 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 71.0 innings.

Why the Brewers will beat the Padres

  • The Brewers have won each of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Padres have lost three of their last four games.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Padres’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eleven of the Brewers’ last 13 games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six day games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Brewers rank 26th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.365).
  • The Brewers rank 25th in the league for triples this season (5).
  • The Padres rank 5th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
  • The Padres rank T25th in the league for home runs this season (55).

Padres vs Brewers Prediction

The Padres won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. I am going with the Brewers as they have a favorable pitching matchup. Ryan Bergert, who will fill in for injured Michael King, pitched well in his lone start of the season, but he is a reliever, and I doubt he can stay on the mound for more than three or four innings. Milwaukee will find a way to hurt him. Freddy Peralta, on the other hand, is one of three Milwaukee’s starters with an ERA below 3.00 this season, and I am pretty sure he can get a quality start here. Peralta allowed a .200 BA in 50 at-bats against the Padres in his career. Back the Brewers to win. 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Brewers ML

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