Royals vs Tigers Prediction 8/22/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 22nd at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 66-62 this year after they won three out of four against Texas by scores of 4-3, 5-2, 3-6, and 6-4. In their game four win, Kansas City blew a 4-1 lead, but scored the last two runs to escape with the victory. The Royals recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Garcia, Pasquantino, Perez, Loftin, Maile, and Tolbert, who all had one RBI in the win. KC started Lorenzen, who allowed nine hits and three earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Zerpa picked up the win and Estevez got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Royals swept the White Sox in three games and won two out of three against the Nationals. Kansas City has won eight of their last ten games and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 489 runs with a .246 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 26 home runs and 87 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 22 home runs and 71 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Ryan Bergert, who is 1-1 with a 2.75 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 52.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 76-53 this season after they swept Houston by scores of 10-0, 1-0, and 7-2. In their game three win, Detroit scored six runs in the first inning and cruised to the easy victory. The Tigers recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Baez, who went 2-3 with two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Morton, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Hanifee pitched 1.1 scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Tigers won three out of four against the Twins and two out of three against the White Sox. Detroit has won seven of their last eight games and they are still first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 622 runs with a .249 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 29 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 26 home runs and 68 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 12-4 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 111.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Royals

• The Royals have lost each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Royals following a home win.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Comerica Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Royals will beat the Tigers 

• The Tigers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Royals and Tigers.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have covered the run line in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Tigers’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Royals’ last five games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Royals’ last 11 games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of the Tigers’ last five games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL opponents.
• Riley Greene ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (29) this season.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last four games.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 10 road games against AL Central opponents.
• Randal Grichuk has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL Central opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T4th in the league in Steals (34) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
• The Tigers rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1134).
• The Royals rank 29th in the league for walks this season (335).
• The Royals rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (490).

Royals vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this series playing very well and they have allowed a total of two runs in their last three games. The Tigers are 42-24 at home this season, while the Royals are 30-32 on the road. Kansas City is also playing well right now and their offense is finally producing some offense. The Royals are starting Bergert, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in all three starts with the team. The Tigers are going with Mize, who has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five. I don’t like how Mize is pitching right now and with the KC offense starting to heat up, I like the over here.