Royals vs Red Sox Prediction 08/04/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 4th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 56-56 this year after they won two out of three against Toronto by scores of 9-3, 2-4, and 7-4. In their game three win, Kansas City tied the game at two in the eighth inning and they scored five runs in the top of the 10th to escape with the win. The Royals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Tolbert, who went 1-1 with two RBIs in the win. KC started Lugo, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Harvey picked up the win. 

Prior to that series, the Royals won two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Guardians. Kansas City has won four of their last five games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 411 runs with a .243 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 18 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 20 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Bailey Falter, who is 7-5 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 62-51 this season after they won all three games against Houston by scores of 2-1, 7-3, and 6-1. In their game three win, Boston trailed 1-0 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last six runs in the game for the victory. The Red Sox recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Rafaela, who went 3-3 with one RBI in the win. Boston started Giolito, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 8.0 innings for the win, while Murphy closed out the game. 

Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Dodgers. Boston has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 560 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 20 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 18 home runs and 69 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 7-5 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 110.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Royals

• The Red Sox have won 17 of their last 18 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have lost 16 of their last 17 Monday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents.

Why the Royals will beat the Red Sox

• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Royals have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The road team has covered the run line in six of the last seven games between the Royals and Red Sox.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Royals and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Royals’ last seven games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last four night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven night games between the Royals and Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Story has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two games as favorites.
• Trevor Story has recorded a Double in four of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL opponents.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in each of the Royals’ last three night games.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 10 road games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T6th in the league in Steals (29) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1019).
• The Red Sox rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (560).
• The Royals rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (199).
• The Royals rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (404).

Royals vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston rolls into this matchup looking for their sixth straight win, as they continue to chase down the Blue Jays in the AL East. The Red Sox are 37-21 at home this year, while the Royals are 28-28 on the road. Kansas City has won four of their last five games and they have scored at least seven runs in three of their last five. The Royals are starting Falter, who has allowed one earned run in each of his last two outings. The Red Sox are going with Bello, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five. Take the under here.