Royals vs Orioles Prediction 7/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 10th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 38-56 this year after they lost two out of three against the Mets by scores of 16-12, 2-6, and 3-7. In game three, Kansas City led 2-1 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the next five runs for the loss. The Royals recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Witt Jr, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Wacha allowed six hits and six earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Way allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Kansas City won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost all three against the Rays before that. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.86 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while they have scored 402 runs with a .248 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 13 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Luinder Avila, who is 4-3 with a 5.05 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 51.2 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 43-51 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 2-5, 7-9, and 3-2. In game three, Baltimore trailed 2-1 in the eighth inning, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the eighth for the win. The Orioles recorded three hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Jackson, who went 1-1 with two RBIs. Rogers allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Wells picked up the win and Kittredge got the save. Prior to that series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Reds, but did lose two out of three against the White Sox before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.37 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 428 runs with a .238 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 20 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 7-2 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Royals have lost seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have won five of their last six games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last three games against the Royals.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Friday night games as favorites.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Royals’ last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Orioles have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last four night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Royals’ last five night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Royals’ last 10 games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Young has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit at least one home run in three of the Orioles’ last four home games.
• Brandon Young has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight Friday games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Luinder Avila has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Royals as underdogs.
• Carter Jensen has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Luinder Avila has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Royals as underdogs.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Royals as underdogs against the Orioles.

Royals vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore was able to snap their small losing streak with a win on Thursday and they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Orioles are 25-25 at home this year, while the Royals are 17-30 on the road. Kansas City has lost back to back games and they have allowed 6+ runs in three straight. The Royals are starting Avila, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts, while Young has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings. I know Avila has been better in recent starts, but I still don’t trust him. Take the Orioles here.

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML