Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 6/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 5th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 26-35 this year after they lost two out of three against the Orioles by scores of 2-4, 8-1, and 2-8. In game three, Boston allowed six runs in the first inning and never had a chance to comeback in the loss. The Red Sox recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Contreras, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Bello allowed seven hits and eight earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Kahnle threw two scoreless innings in relief. Prior to that series, Boston won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost two out of three against the Braves before that. 

This season, Boston has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 243 runs with a .248 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 12 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 10 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Sonny Gray, who is 6-1 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 50.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 37-25 this season after they lost two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 4-9, 4-5, and 2-1. In game three, New York tied the game in the fourth inning and they took the lead in the seventh for the win. The Yankees recorded five hits in the game and they were led by McMahon, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Rodon allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Headrick picked up the win and Bednar got the save. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Athletics and all three against the Royals. 

This season, New York has a 3.28 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 315 runs with a .241 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Aaron Judge (OUT) has led the Yankees with 17 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added 17 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 2-3 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 64.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Yankees have won 12 of their last 14 home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in 12 of their last 16 games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Red Sox.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last seven night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the last nine games between the Red Sox and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Red Sox’s last 13 games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine games as favorites.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five road games against AL opponents.
• Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after losing a series to the Guardians and their offense needs to find some life without Judge. The Yankees are 18-11 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 16-14 on the road. Boston lost two out of three against the Orioles, but they have scored 8+ in three of their last five. The Red Sox are starting Gray, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Weathers has allowed 5, 0, and 5 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the Red Sox and the plus money here.

David Racey's Pick: Red Sox ML