My Account
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Illinois State Redbirds | Purdue Boilermakers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Spread | +15.5 -105 | -15.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +1100 | -2100 |
| Total | Over 144.5 (-112) | Under 144.5 (-108) |
| Where | Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN | |
| When | Monday, November 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EST | |
| TV | FS1 | |
Illinois State vs Purdue Prediction
In this Illinois State vs Purdue Prediction, Purdue is coming as -15.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming opposite outcomes in their previous games and Purdue has surprisingly started the season with back-to-back losses and coming off a shocking home defeat by Valparaiso, so this is a big bounce-back spot as they are looking for their first win of the season in front of their home crowd. Illinois State has inflated offensive numbers because of that big win against Central State, but they still allow 72.5 ppg defensively, which will be an issue when they will face a frustrated Purdue team on the road. This is a big bounce-back spot for Purdue, so take the Boilermakers and lay the points at home.
Purdue Boilermakers Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers have a 0-2 overall record and a 0-1 home record and a 0-1 neutral record. They are coming off a 80-83 home loss against Valparaiso and will face Ohio and Lipscomb next.
Offensively, they are averaging 76 points per game (ranking 217th in the nation), while allowing 80.5 points per game defensively (ranking 276th in the nation) and have a 104.1 offensive rating (ranking 236th) and a 110.3 defensive rating (ranking 266th). The Boilermakers are shooting 42% from the field (ranking 250th) and 20.4% from beyond the arc (ranking 346th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 45.2% from the field (ranking 250th) and 30.2% from the 3-point range (ranking 172nd). They are shooting with a 79.2% from the free-throw line (ranking 51st). They are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game (ranking 175th) and allow 35.5 rebounds per game off their opponents (194th), while averaging 18 assists per game (ranking 95th) and allowing their opponents to dish 13.5 assists per game (209th). They average 1 block per game (ranking 328th) and 6 steals per game (ranking 251st), while committing 10.5 turnovers per game (ranking 88th) and forcing their opponents into 9.5 turnovers per game (ranking 327th).
Daniel Jacobsen leads Purdue in scoring, averaging 25 ppg on 75% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 8.5 rebounds per game. C.J. Cox follows with 12 ppg on 38.9% shooting from the field. Gicarri Harris follows with 9.5 ppg on 41.7% shooting from the field. Omer Mayer leads the team in assists with 5 per game.
Illinois State Redbirds Preview
The Illinois State Redbirds have a 1-1 overall record and a 0-1 home record and a 1-0 road record. They are coming off a 100-55 home win against Central State (OH) and will face North Dakota State and Bellarmine next.
Offensively, they are averaging 92.5 points per game (ranking 78th in the nation), while allowing 72.5 points per game defensively (ranking 192nd in the nation) and have a 129.9 offensive rating (ranking 50th) and a 101.8 defensive rating (ranking 210th). The Redbirds are shooting 55% from the field (ranking 31st) and 50.9% from beyond the arc (ranking 7th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 47.1% from the field (ranking 276th) and 29% from the 3-point range (ranking 148th). They are shooting with a 65.4% from the free-throw line (ranking 237th). They are grabbing 34 rebounds per game (ranking 269th) and allow 32.5 rebounds per game off their opponents (127th), while averaging 21.5 assists per game (ranking 42nd) and allowing their opponents to dish 13.5 assists per game (209th). They average 1.5 blocks per game (ranking 313th) and 7 steals per game (ranking 193rd), while committing 14 turnovers per game (ranking 230th) and forcing their opponents into 14 turnovers per game (ranking 150th).
Johnny Kinziger leads Illinois State in scoring, averaging 23 ppg on 68.2% shooting from the field. Malik Moore follows with 17 ppg on 47.6% shooting from the field. Nick Allen follows with 10 ppg on 72.7% shooting from the field. Malik Moore and Noah Cleveland lead the team in rebounds with 4.5 and 5 per game respectively. Johnny Kinziger leads the team in assists with 4.5 per game.
Illinois State Redbirds @ Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends: November 9, 2026
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- Purdue has won 29 of its last 30 night games against non-Conference opponents at Mackey Arena.
Why the Illinois State Redbirds will win
- Purdue has lost each of its last three games.
- Illinois State has won 19 of its last 24 games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Purdue’s last 11 games at Mackey Arena have produced a total of 150+ points.
- Four of Illinois State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Purdue ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (79.2%).
- Purdue ranks T48th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (21.0).
- Illinois State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (69.1%).
- Illinois State ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (15.5).
