Rays vs Brewers Prediction 4/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 1st at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 2-3 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 2-6. In their game two loss, Tampa Bay led 2-0 in the fifth inning, but they allowed three runs in the bottom of the fifth and three more after that in the loss. The Rays recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Aranda and Fortes, who both hit solo home runs. McClanahan allowed two hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Sulser allowed two earned runs and Gomez allowed one earned run in relief. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 5.61 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 28 runs with a .293 batting average and a .348 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz has led the Rays with one home run and six RBIs, while Jonny DeLuca has added one home run and four RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 4-1 this year after they won game two in this series by a score of 6-2 on Tuesday night. Milwaukee had trouble getting baserunners in the first few innings, but they woke up and scored five runs in the fifth/sixth innings for the win. The Brewers recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Turang, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Woodruff allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Koenig, Anderson, and Uribe all picked up holds. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.00 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .207 opponent batting average, while they have scored 37 runs with a .286 batting average and a .394 on base percentage. Christian Yelich has led the Brewers with one home run and five RBIs, while William Contreras has also added one home run and five RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games following a road loss.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as home favorites.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last three Wednesday games as underdogs.
• The Brewers have lost three of their last four Wednesday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Rays and Brewers.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in six of their last seven games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Brewers’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rays’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rays’ last nine games as road underdogs.

Rays vs Brewers Prediction 

Milwaukee was able to bounce back from their first loss of the season with a nice win on Tuesday night and they will look for the series win here. The Brewers have scored 6+ runs in four of their five games and they are starting Misiorowski, who was very impressive in his first start. Tampa Bay has won two of their last three games and they have allowed 6+ runs in four of their five games. The Rays are going with Rasmussen, who also pitched well in his first outing. I think we could see a very low scoring game here, so I like the under in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Under 7